运价控制
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地中海航运半月内两度官宣涨价,市场担忧苏伊士运河复航预期恐致运力过剩并拉低运价
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-12-01 15:33
Core Viewpoint - After three consecutive weeks of decline, China's export container shipping market has recently seen a slight increase of 0.7% in freight rates, with varying trends across different routes [1] Group 1: Freight Rate Trends - The freight rates on different routes have shown a mixed performance, with significant rebounds on the South America route and a recovery on the East America route, while the West America route continues to decline [1] - Mediterranean Shipping Company (MSC) announced a price increase for the Europe-Asia route, with a uniform freight rate of $2,975 per TEU for the first half of December, rising to $3,375 per TEU in the second half, marking a $400 increase for 20-foot containers [2] - As of November 28, the market freight rate from Shanghai to Mediterranean ports was $2,232 per TEU, reflecting an 8.6% increase [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Seasonal Factors - The end of November typically marks the beginning of a concentrated shipping period in Europe and the Mediterranean, driven by contract fulfillments and pre-arranged shipments for the Spring Festival [5] - The shipping volume on European routes is currently insufficient to support higher rates, leading some shipowners to offer discounted rates [5] - An increase in booking volumes is expected from late December, particularly on the Mediterranean route, due to previous capacity shortages and cargo backlogs [6] Group 3: Suez Canal and Capacity Concerns - Discussions are ongoing regarding the resumption of services through the Suez Canal, which could lead to an oversupply of capacity and downward pressure on freight rates [7] - The Suez Canal is expected to fully restore shipping volumes and revenue by 2026, with strategic agreements already in place between the Suez Canal Authority and major shipping companies [7][9] - The potential return to Suez Canal routes could result in an oversupply of approximately 1.5 million TEU, necessitating careful capacity management by shipping companies [9]