进口贸易创新发展
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小商品城(600415):建设文商旅综合体配套进口业务,进一步夯实长期收入增长
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-09 06:20
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5][6] Core Views - The company has recently acquired land for 3.223 billion yuan to develop a cultural, commercial, and tourism complex, which is expected to enhance long-term revenue growth [2][3] - The project aims to provide physical space support for the innovative development of import trade, leveraging new national trade reform policies [4] - The projected total investment for the project is estimated at 7.863 billion yuan, with a payback period of 7.83 years and a post-tax return on investment of 6.41% [2][3] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 46.93 billion yuan, 70.29 billion yuan, and 83.85 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.6, 13.7, and 11.5 [3][5] - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2023 to 2027 are 48%, 39%, 32%, 33%, and 22% respectively [9] - The company expects to achieve a net profit growth rate of 142% in 2023, followed by 15%, 53%, 50%, and 19% in the subsequent years [9]