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崔东树:进口车持续剧烈下行的压力明显 2025年1-12月进口汽车48万辆 同比下降32%
智通财经网· 2026-01-26 11:55
Core Insights - The import of automobiles in China is experiencing significant declines, with a projected total of 480,000 vehicles imported in 2025, representing a 32% year-on-year decrease. December 2025 alone saw imports drop to 30,000 units, down 56% year-on-year and 30% month-on-month [1][5][6]. Group 1: Overall Trends in Automobile Imports - The peak of automobile imports occurred in 2014 with 1.43 million units, followed by a continuous decline, with imports dropping to 700,000 units in 2024, a 12% decrease from the previous year [5][6]. - The first twelve months of 2025 are expected to show a total of 480,000 imported vehicles, marking a significant decline of 32% compared to the same period in 2024 [1][5]. Group 2: Monthly and Quarterly Trends - December 2025's imports were particularly low, with only 30,000 vehicles imported, reflecting a 56% year-on-year decline and a 30% decrease from November 2025 [1][6]. - The overall trend indicates a continuous decline in imports over the past three years, with a cumulative negative growth trend extending to seven years when smoothing out fluctuations [5][6]. Group 3: Country-Specific Import Data - The top ten countries for imports in December 2025 included Japan (11,179 units), Germany (8,228 units), and the United States (4,487 units), with Finland showing a notable increase in imports [1][5]. - For the entire year of 2025, Japan remains the largest supplier with 203,107 units, followed by Germany and Slovakia, indicating a shift in import dynamics [1][5]. Group 4: Market Segmentation and Vehicle Types - Passenger vehicles dominate the import market, accounting for 99% of total imports, with a notable decline in the import of traditional fuel vehicles and a slight increase in diesel vehicle imports [12][16]. - In 2025, the share of imported passenger cars with engine displacements below 2 liters increased to 49%, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards smaller, more fuel-efficient vehicles [16][17]. Group 5: Performance of Luxury Brands - Lexus has emerged as a standout performer in the luxury segment, achieving sales of 184,000 units in 2025, maintaining its position as the leading imported luxury car brand despite the overall market decline [2].