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勇接“下落的飞刀”?段永平再次买进茅台,底气何在?
券商中国· 2025-10-18 23:33
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy of value investors, highlighting the recent purchase of Kweichow Moutai by renowned investor Duan Yongping, despite the stock's ongoing decline over the past four years [2] - It contrasts the approaches of trend investors and value investors, emphasizing that value investors do not need to predict market psychology and should buy stocks that meet value investment principles without delay [2][4] - The concept of "catching a falling knife" is explored, illustrating the risks of trying to time the market and the potential for missing out on the best buying opportunities [2][4] Group 2 - The article explains why guessing market bottoms or tops is ineffective, using game theory to illustrate that investors often fail to consider the actions of others, leading to poor decision-making [4][5] - It references the "Dollar Auction" game designed by Martin Shubik, which demonstrates how participants can irrationally continue bidding beyond the value of the item, paralleling the behavior seen in market bubbles [6] - The article emphasizes that investing is not a "beauty contest," where investors try to predict the most popular stocks, but rather a focus on the long-term fundamental value of companies [8][9] Group 3 - The article highlights John Maynard Keynes' shift from speculative strategies to value investing after experiencing significant losses, focusing on the future earnings of companies rather than market trends [9] - It cites Benjamin Graham's philosophy that investors should not wait for the lowest market prices to buy stocks, as this could lead to missed opportunities and income loss [9] - The importance of maintaining a stable stock portfolio and not reacting emotionally to market fluctuations is emphasized, encouraging investors to utilize market conditions rather than be influenced by them [9]