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特朗普操盘美债大棋:降息压短端,黄金储备成杀手锏?最大调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-05 17:49
Group 1 - The current economic strategy under the Trump administration involves manipulating interest rates, particularly focusing on long-term rates, despite short-term rates potentially decreasing due to Federal Reserve rate cuts [1][3] - The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is heavily weighted towards short-term bonds, which limits the effectiveness of rate cuts on long-term bond yields [5] - Trump's strategy includes shifting short-term debt to long-term debt to support long-term Treasury bonds, which could flatten the yield curve or even lead to an inversion [5][7] Group 2 - The potential reassessment of U.S. gold reserves could create a significant market impact by altering the perceived value of these assets, thereby influencing interest rates [7] - The interconnectedness of global financial markets means that U.S. interest rate policies will have ripple effects worldwide, particularly affecting capital flows to emerging markets [7][9] - The manipulation of inflation statistics could lower market inflation expectations, which would subsequently affect long-term bond yields [5][9]