造纸行业发展前景
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中国造纸学会理事长曹春昱:中国造纸消费市场需求至少还有30年以上的持续增长空间
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-27 16:04
Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is not a sunset industry but rather a vibrant sector with significant potential and growth opportunities [1] Industry Development Outlook - The development of the paper industry is influenced by market demand, with key factors including economic development, population size, industrial structure, consumption patterns, policies, and resources [1] - The paper consumption trajectory in developed countries shows a continuous growth cycle of 30-40 years, indicating that China has substantial room for growth in per capita paper consumption [2] - With a projected annual compound growth rate of 3%, it will take at least 30 more years for China's paper consumption to reach the level of 200 kg per capita [3] National Policy and Support - Current national strategies provide both support and constraints for the paper industry, focusing on resource utilization, carbon reduction, quality improvement, advanced manufacturing, and digitalization [3] - Key areas receiving strong policy support include critical equipment, bamboo utilization, and high-performance paper-based materials, which are expected to become hotspots for future industry development [3] Future Development Directions - The future high-quality development of the paper industry is summarized into four main areas: 1. **Industry Safety**: Ensuring controllable supply of raw materials and exploring the reuse of processing residues and agricultural waste [4] 2. **Industry Structure**: Increasing industry concentration and exploring differentiated development paths in response to consumer upgrades [4] 3. **Industry Innovation**: Emphasizing independent innovation and collaboration to address current industry shortcomings [5] 4. **Industry Technology**: Focusing on green, low-carbon, and digital transformation as essential components for sustainable development and long-term competitiveness [5]