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淡水泉投资:上半年市场呈“避险思维让位于机会思维”特征 下半年看好AI产业链等三大科技方向机会
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-07-01 09:32
Market Overview - In June, the A-share market rose significantly, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 2.9% and the CSI 300 Index by 2.5% [1] - The Hong Kong market outperformed A-shares, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 3.36% [1] - The first half of the year saw a revaluation of technology assets driven by DeepSeek, followed by a rotation led by new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Market Sentiment - A notable shift from risk-averse thinking to opportunity-seeking behavior was observed in the first half of the year, contrasting sharply with the previous two years [2] - The average daily trading volume in A-shares exceeded 1.3 trillion yuan, significantly higher than the 1.2 trillion yuan in the second half of last year and 860 billion yuan in the first half of last year [2] - The market's increased activity indicates a visible profit-making effect, with a broader range of opportunities emerging compared to the past [2] Investment Trends - New consumption has emerged as a key investment focus, driven by companies that have adapted to personalized and diversified consumption trends [2] - The characteristics of new consumption businesses align well with market preferences for growth and high profitability [2] - Emerging growth assets are expected to remain a focal point in the second half of the year, with certain high-growth sectors showing resilience to macroeconomic fluctuations [3] Future Outlook - The market is anticipated to expand its focus from new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals to technology and cyclical industries [3] - Investment opportunities in the AI industry chain, domestic semiconductor equipment, and chips are highlighted as promising areas [3] - The potential for growth in high-end manufacturing due to technological breakthroughs is also noted, alongside a few leading companies with cyclical growth attributes [3]