10月9日，A股迎来节后开门红，上证指数、深证成指、创业板指、科创50、中证A500等核心宽基指数 纷纷走强，截至13:08，同类成交额最大的A500ETF基金（512050）涨超1.5%。持仓股迈为股份20cm涨 停，西部超导涨超19%，沪硅产业、中微公司、北方军政、铜陵有色、通富微电等批量冲高。 节前资金积极布局A股核心资产，近5个交易日，A500ETF基金（512050）获得资金净申购19.62亿元。 资料显示，中证A500指数，采取行业均衡配置与龙头优选双策略，中证全部35个细分行业全覆盖，融 合价值与成长属性，相比沪深300，超配AI产业链、医药生物、电力设备新能源等新质生产力行业，具 备天然的哑铃投资属性。场外联接（A类：022430；C类：022431；Y类：022979）。 东吴证券策略团队指出，传统日历效应下，国庆后市场多呈"涨多跌少"的格局，而本轮节前2个交易日 已出现资金提前博弈反弹的动作，因此节后指数层面需重视量价的配合情况。节假日期间，内外部利好 叠加，尤其海外美联储降息预期升温、中美谈判或释放乐观信号、AI产业趋势催化显著，预计短期内 市场风格或偏向具备催化的、远期成长属性更强、估 ...

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 甲骨文被爆料"云业务利润率低于预期"，盘中一度跌近7%；特斯拉尾盘跳水，跌超4%。 黄金再创新高， 纽约期金则首次站上4000美元/盎司大关， 高盛最新将2026年12月金价预估上调至4900美元/盎司。 01 一则消息 深夜跳水 这一消息 拖累三大指数集体收跌。 截至收盘，标普500指数 下 跌0.38%，纳斯达克综合指数 下 跌0.67%，道琼斯工业平均指数 下 跌0.2%。 文件 显示，在截至8月的3个月里，甲骨文通过出租搭载英伟达芯片的服务器获得约9亿美元收入，录得1.25亿美元毛利润，毛利率只有不到 14%。同时，一些未列明的折旧费用还将吞噬7个百分点的利润率。云业务的迅猛扩张，将迅速拉低公司目前接近70%的毛利率。 受上述消息影响，甲骨文盘中一度下跌近7%，最终收跌2.52%。 美股科技股受挫，科技七巨头普跌。英伟达下跌0.27%，微软下跌0.87%，谷歌下跌1.74%。 特斯拉尾盘跳水，尽管发布了两款新车，最终股价大幅下跌4.45%。 美东10月7日（周二），美股三大指数开盘后不久，开始快速下跌。 消息面上， 甲骨文被爆料"云业务利润率低于预期" 。 这意味 ...

云计算概念集体重挫，截至发稿，鸿腾精密(06088)跌5.24%，报6.51港元；阿里巴巴-W(09988)跌 3.27%，报174.6港元；金山软件(03888)跌3.25%，报32.78港元；新意网集团(01686)跌1.45%，报6.8港 元。 消息面上，媒体援引内部文件称，在截至8月末的公司上一财季，甲骨文的服务器租赁录得收入9亿美 元、毛利1.25亿美元；文件还显示，甲骨文在英伟达Blackwell租赁方面亏损大约1亿美元。周二，甲骨 文股价一度下跌7.1%，最终收跌约2.5%，拖累美股AI产业链表现。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，云计算概念集体重挫，截至发稿，鸿腾精密(06088)跌5.24%，报6.51港元；阿里巴 巴-W(09988)跌3.27%，报174.6港元；金山软件(03888)跌3.25%，报32.78港元；新意网集团(01686)跌 1.45%，报6.8港元。 消息面上，媒体援引内部文件称，在截至8月末的公司上一财季，甲骨文的服务器租赁录得收入9亿美 元、毛利1.25亿美元；文件还显示，甲骨文在英伟达Blackwell租赁方面亏损大约1亿美元。周二，甲骨 文股价一度下跌7.1%，最终收跌约2.5%，拖累美股AI产业链表现。 ...

方正证券认为，政策利好不断释放，A股、港股市场信心显著回升；南下资金仍在持续加速流入港股市 场，叠加美联储降息周期开启，港股流动性环境有望进一步受益。 展望十月，银河证券研报认为，A股和港股市场可能受益于长期政策布局、密集的产业催化事件以及相 对宽松的流动性环境。A股的机遇可能更多集中在科技成长领域，而港股则受益于独特的市场结构和外 部流动性预期。招商证券研报则表示，无论是从政策预期还是业绩表现，以AI算力、半导体自主可 控、固态电池、商业航天、可控核聚变为代表的八大赛道依然是当前的重点。交银国际也在研报中提 到，美联储降息环境下科技股估值修复逻辑进一步强化，南向资金对港股科技等高景气度板块的配置需 求保持强劲。AI产业链相关标的受益于全球科技巨头资本支出，特别是算力投入持续增长。（闻辉） 【环球网财经综合报道】日前，摩根士丹利发布报告称，9月外资净流入中国股市46亿美元，创下自 2024年11月以来的单月最高水平。其中，被动型基金净流入额达52亿美元。截至9月30日，今年以来外 资被动型基金累计净流入额已达180亿美元，远超2024年全年70亿美元的水平。 从行业板块来看，与上月相比，主动型基金经理显著增仓 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,140.92 points, down 0.54% on October 3, with a weekly increase of 3.88% [1][2] - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 0.9% to 6,622.85 points, with a weekly gain of 6.9% [1][2] - The trading volume on October 3 was 134.78 billion HKD, a decrease from 222.47 billion HKD on the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Among the sectors, the Utilities and Industrials indices were the best performers, rising by 0.50% and 0.37% respectively [3][7] - The worst-performing sectors included Communication Services, Consumer Staples, and Real Estate, with declines of 0.90%, 0.74%, and 0.67% respectively [3][7] - A total of 861 stocks rose while 1,089 stocks fell, with 72 stocks increasing over 10% and 21 stocks decreasing over 10% [3] Notable Stocks - The electric equipment and nuclear power sectors performed well, with China Nuclear International rising over 20% and Shanghai Electric increasing over 14% [4] - Semiconductor stocks showed strength, with SMIC reaching a historical high of 91.35 HKD per share [4] Broader Market Sentiment - Analysts are optimistic about a "slow bull" market for Hong Kong stocks in October, citing strong economic data and increased inflows from mainland investors [8][9] - As of September 30, net inflows from mainland investors into Hong Kong stocks reached 1.08 trillion RMB, significantly higher than previous years [8] - The recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected to improve liquidity conditions in the Hong Kong market [8][9] Investment Strategies - Analysts recommend a "high elasticity" and "high dividend" strategy, focusing on three main areas: technology growth, biopharmaceuticals, and high-dividend defensive stocks [10] - The technology sector is expected to benefit from the Fed's rate cut, with strong demand for AI-related stocks [10] - The biopharmaceutical sector is also seen as having potential for valuation recovery, particularly for companies with global expansion plans [10]

回调。 10月3日，港股市场整体回调，恒生指数、恒生科技等主要指数均出现下跌，午后一度加大跌幅，恒生指数盘中跌超1.1%，恒生科技指数盘中跌超1.8%。但尾盘均 震荡回升，跌幅有所收窄。截至收盘，恒生指数微跌0.54%，恒生科技下跌0.9%。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSI | 恒生指数 | 27140.92c | -146.20 | -0.54% | | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 6622.85c | -60.01 | -0.90% | 分析人士指出，港股市场并没有出现利空消息，属于正常的获利回吐。从长期来看，港股的上涨行情仍未结束。 电气设备、核能领涨 在概念板块方面，港股市场中今日表现最好的是电力设备和核电指数等，其中中核国际上涨超20%，上海电气上涨超14%，中国核能科技上涨超13%，东方电气、 哈尔滨电气、中广核矿业也都有不错的涨幅。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 ▼ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2302 | 中核国际 | 6.5 ...

板块上，有色金属方向全天强势，锡、钴、铜等细分领涨博迁新材、江西铜业、华锡有色、锡业股份等 个股涨停，华友钴业、云南铜业、永兴材料、豫光金铅、洛阳钼业等个股涨幅居前。 智通财经9月30日讯，今日市场全天震荡分化，三大指数均小幅收红。科创50指数表现强势，盘中涨超 2%续创近4年新高。沪深两市成交额2.18万亿，较上个交易日放量200亿。盘面上热点快速轮动，有色 金属板块领涨两市，博迁新材2连板，锡业股份涨停。存储芯片概念股延续强势，中电鑫龙7天4板，江 波龙20cm涨停续创历史新高。电池概念股反复活跃，天际股份成功晋级3连板.下跌方面，大金融方向走 势疲软，银行、保险板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指涨0.52%，深成指涨0.35%，创业板指涨0.00%。 板块方面 此外，美联储降息预期升温，全球第二大铜矿因泥石流事故暂停生产、刚果（金）钴出口禁令延长、印 尼大规模禁止非法采锡矿等均对有色板块形成直接刺激，预计围绕有色板块的趋势性行情仍有望在节后 延续。后续可重点关注以下两大方向：1）拥有上游矿产资源的企业能够更为直接地享受涨价利润；2） 切入新能源、AI等高成长赛道的材料加工商。 半导体芯片产业链延续强势，存储芯 ...

- The report discusses the overall performance of the four major stock index futures, with the CSI 500 futures showing the largest increase of 3.83% and the SSE 50 futures showing the smallest increase of 1.00%[3] - The average trading volume of the four major index futures contracts decreased compared to the previous week, with the IH futures showing the largest decrease of -24.59% and the IC futures showing the smallest decrease of -5.41%[3] - The basis levels for the IF, IC, IM, and IH contracts are provided, with the IF and IM discounts deepening, the IC discount narrowing, and the IH discount turning into a premium[3] - The cross-period spread rates for the IF, IC, IM, and IH contracts are given, with the IF, IC, IM, and IH contracts' cross-period spread rates being at the 45.80%, 49.70%, 60.20%, and 40.00% percentiles since 2019, respectively[3] - The report mentions that there are no opportunities for positive or negative arbitrage in the IF main contract based on the closing prices[4] - The dividend forecast indicates that the dividends for the main contracts of the four major index futures have minimal impact on the September main contracts' points[4] - The market sentiment has improved, with the IH basis turning from a discount to a premium and the total open interest of the four major index futures increasing, with the IC showing the most significant increase[4][13] - The report includes a detailed explanation of the calculation methods for index futures arbitrage, including the formulas for positive and negative arbitrage returns[46] - The dividend estimation method is explained, which involves predicting the dividend points based on historical dividend patterns and the current EPS and payout ratio[47][48]

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and five other departments have jointly released the "Construction Materials Industry Stabilization Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)", which outlines five key initiatives to promote industry growth and transformation [1][2]. Group 1: Key Initiatives - The plan emphasizes strengthening industry management to promote survival of the fittest [1][2]. - It calls for enhanced technological innovation in the industry to improve effective supply capacity [1][2]. - The plan aims to expand effective investment to facilitate industry transformation and upgrading [1][2]. - It seeks to stimulate consumer demand to unleash market consumption potential [1][2]. - The initiative includes deepening open cooperation to enhance international development levels [1][2]. Group 2: Industry Specifics - Cement and glass production will be strictly controlled, with a ban on new cement clinker and flat glass capacity, and existing projects must develop capacity replacement plans [2]. - The cement industry is expected to see a decline in capacity under the anti-overproduction policy, with utilization rates significantly improving [3]. - The glass industry is facing a continuous decline in demand due to real estate impacts, but recent policy-driven price increases are leading to inventory replenishment [3]. - The fiberglass sector is experiencing growth driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price [3]. - The consumer building materials sector has reached a profitability bottom, with strong price increase demands supported by anti-overproduction policies [4]. Group 3: Market Performance - In the past week (September 22-28), the construction materials sector index decreased by 2.11%, ranking 23rd among 31 sub-industry indices [5].