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公务机市场迎“黄金十年”?霍尼韦尔报告揭示千亿级需求新浪潮
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-19 13:03
Core Insights - The global business aviation sector is experiencing unprecedented growth, with a projected demand for new business jets reaching a total delivery value of $283 billion over the next decade [2] - The report forecasts the delivery of 8,500 new business jets from now until 2035, with an average annual growth rate of approximately 3% [2] - Key drivers of this market surge include the rise of fractional ownership models and favorable tax policies in the U.S. [3] Market Dynamics - The fractional ownership model has significantly contributed to the increase in aircraft demand, with fleets managed by fractional ownership operators growing by 65% since 2019, reaching around 1,300 aircraft [3] - U.S. tax policies, particularly the "100% bonus depreciation" provision, are influencing procurement plans, allowing companies to deduct the full cost of business jets from taxable income in the year of purchase [3] - Global operator confidence is reflected in order data, with 20% of operators indicating they hold at least one confirmed aircraft order, up from 17% in 2024 [3] Usage Trends - Business jet usage frequency is steadily increasing, with 91% of operators expecting flight hours in 2026 to be the same or higher than in 2025 [4] - Total flight hours for business jets globally have increased by 3%, reversing a stagnation observed between 2023 and 2024 [4] - North America is projected to receive approximately 70% of new business jet deliveries over the next three years, maintaining its dominance in the market [4] Buyer Preferences - Buyers' procurement criteria are shifting, with aircraft performance metrics surpassing purchase cost as the primary consideration for operators [5] - 89% of respondents prioritize performance among their top three decision-making criteria, while only 56% consider cost [5] - Sustainability is increasingly influencing purchasing decisions, with 81% of operators believing that developing more fuel-efficient aircraft is key to achieving carbon reduction goals [5] Industry Outlook - The report, based on macroeconomic analysis and a survey of 312 non-fractional ownership operators managing 1,199 business jets, provides critical insights for industry development [6] - Although historical data suggests that forecasts may sometimes be slightly optimistic, the anticipated introduction of new aircraft models and a stable global economy support the optimistic outlook for the business aviation sector [6]