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中国重汽(000951):公司动态研究:2025Q1公司收入增速高于行业销量增速,费用率控制优秀
Guohai Securities· 2025-05-12 09:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.91 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13% and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 310 million yuan, also up by 13.3% year-on-year [5][6] - The heavy truck industry saw a wholesale sales decline of 2.8% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while the company maintained a market share of 28%, leading the industry [5][6] - The company's gross margin for Q1 2025 was 7.05%, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points compared to the average level of Q1/Q2 last year, primarily due to changes in overseas market structure [5][6] - The company’s R&D, sales, and management expense ratio was 2.86%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, contributing to the growth in net profit [5][6] - The report anticipates that the domestic heavy truck market will benefit from the replacement policy for old operational vehicles, entering a favorable economic cycle [5][6] Financial Summary - The company is projected to achieve total revenues of 51.1 billion, 53.7 billion, and 61.7 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 5%, and 15% [6][7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.71 billion, 1.82 billion, and 2.21 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 15%, 7%, and 21% [6][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.45, 1.55, and 1.88 yuan, corresponding to price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 12, 11, and 9 times [6][7]