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万辰集团(300972):营收利润延续高增 运营精进机会显著
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-01 06:34
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue and profit growth by 2025, driven by store expansion and operational improvements in the snack retail industry [1][2][3][4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company anticipates revenue of 50-52.8 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.7%-63.3% [1] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.23-1.4 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 319.0%-377.0% [1] - The non-recurring net profit is forecasted to be 1.16-1.33 billion yuan, indicating a year-on-year increase of 349.7%-415.6% [1] Store Expansion and Operational Efficiency - The company's snack retail business is projected to generate revenue of 50-52 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 57.3%-63.6% [2] - By the end of December 2025, the number of stores is expected to approach 18,000, with continued rapid store openings even in the off-peak season [2] - Same-store efficiency has improved since Q3 2025, attributed to optimized store operations and diversification of product categories [2] Profitability and Margin Improvement - The company's net profit after adjusting for share-based payment expenses is expected to be 2.2-2.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 156.4%-203.0% [3] - The net profit margin is projected to be 4.4%-5.1%, reflecting an increase of 1.7-2.4 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The improvement in profitability is driven by reduced store opening subsidies and enhanced supply chain efficiency [3] Industry Outlook and Strategic Positioning - The snack retail industry still has ample room for expansion in lower-tier and northern markets, with the company positioned to leverage brand recognition and logistics advantages [3] - The company is expected to continue enhancing operational management across the entire supply chain, which will further release profit potential [3] - The recovery of minority shareholder rights in Nanjing Wan You is anticipated to bolster the company's net profit performance [3] Earnings Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth of 59.4%, 20.6%, and 14.3% from 2025 to 2027, reaching 51.55 billion, 62.17 billion, and 71.07 billion yuan respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow by 350.8%, 67.3%, and 22.6% during the same period, reaching 1.32 billion, 2.21 billion, and 2.72 billion yuan respectively [4]