Group 1 - The overall upward trend of the Hong Kong stock market remains healthy, driven by a shift from previous risk-averse sentiment to improving fundamentals and positive policy expectations [2][3] - The U.S. has reached trade agreements with major partners, alleviating global supply chain concerns, while U.S. inflation continues to improve, opening a window for potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2][4] - Internal economic governance is shifting towards high-efficiency investment and supply upgrades, which may help offset real estate gaps and support market expectations for structural policy enhancements [2][3] Group 2 - Short-term market sentiment shows signs of being overbought, but capital flow into the Hong Kong market remains robust, with continued net inflows from the Hong Kong Stock Connect [3] - If a limited agreement is reached between China and the U.S., combined with domestic policy catalysts, the Hong Kong stock market may continue its gradual recovery led by fundamentals, with a focus on sectors like technology, pharmaceuticals, and AI [3] - The most optimistic scenario suggests that if the 10-year Chinese bond yield reaches 1.75% and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains at 4.4%, the Hang Seng Index could potentially rise to 27,400 points [3] Group 3 - The U.S. stock market is currently cautious, with most positive factors already priced in, but there are still opportunities in specific sectors such as healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples [4] - Recent economic data indicates that the U.S. is entering a strong growth phase, with significant improvements in PMI and a decline in unemployment claims, leading to upward revisions in earnings forecasts for the S&P 500 [4] - The U.S. has generated substantial tariff revenue through trade agreements, which supports fiscal initiatives and alleviates inflationary pressures, further opening the door for potential interest rate cuts [4][5]