Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed slightly down, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index recorded gains, with total trading volume increasing to 2.16 trillion yuan [1][5] - The market anticipates two interest rate cuts totaling 50 basis points by the Federal Reserve next year, influenced by political factors such as the U.S. midterm elections and the appointment of a new Fed chair [1][8] - China's export scale and trade surplus have reached historical highs this year, indicating resilience in export structure and direction, with expectations for continued strong performance in exports next year amid improving Sino-U.S. trade relations [1][8] Digital Currency Developments - The People's Bank of China has introduced a digital yuan action plan, with a new framework set to launch on January 1, 2026, transitioning from a cash-based to a deposit currency model [2][9] - This upgrade is expected to create a win-win situation for businesses and individuals, providing interest income and a wider range of financial products, while also incentivizing commercial banks [2][9] Tariff Adjustments - The State Council's tariff adjustment plan for 2026 will implement lower temporary import tariffs on 935 items starting January 1, 2026, aimed at enhancing the linkage between domestic and international markets [2][10] - The plan focuses on high-quality development and open markets, reducing tariffs on key components and advanced materials, and dynamically adjusting tariff structures to support industrial development [10] Agricultural Policy - The Central Rural Work Conference emphasized the importance of agricultural modernization and set key tasks for 2026, including enhancing grain production and improving agricultural policies to stabilize prices and increase farmers' income [4][11] - The conference aims to strengthen agricultural technology and equipment, which could lead to long-term investment opportunities in the agricultural sector and stimulate county-level consumption [4][11] Market Performance - On December 30, the A-share market showed mixed results, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3965.12 points (down 0.004%), Shenzhen Component at 13604.07 points (up 0.49%), and ChiNext Index at 3242.90 points (up 0.63%) [5][12] - The oil and petrochemical, automotive, and non-ferrous metals sectors saw the highest gains, while retail, real estate, and public utilities experienced the largest declines [5][13] Capital Tracking - The market's trading volume reached 21,617.04 billion yuan, showing an increase from the previous trading day, with the margin financing balance also rising to 25,517.34 billion yuan [6][14]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.04% to close at 3965.28 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.49% to 13537.10 points. The ChiNext Index decreased by 0.66% to 3222.61 points. Overall, there were 1993 stocks that rose and 3325 stocks that fell across the market, with a total trading volume of 21393 billion yuan, a decrease of 209 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][10]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the top gainers included Petroleum & Petrochemicals (up 1.48%), National Defense & Military Industry (up 1.43%), Banking (up 1.03%), Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry & Fishery (up 0.71%), and Automotive (up 0.41%). Conversely, the sectors that experienced the largest declines were Nonferrous Metals (down 1.95%), Utilities (down 1.24%), Electric Equipment (down 1.13%), Building Materials (down 1.11%), Food & Beverage (down 1.06%) [1][10]. Concept Sector Performance - The concept sectors that performed well today included Chemical Fiber Selection, Stablecoins, PEEK Materials, Cryptocurrencies, Cross-Border Payments, Perovskite Batteries, Satellite Internet, Circuit Boards, Gear Reducers, Large Aircraft, Central State-Owned Banks, Selected Aviation Transport, Photovoltaic Glass, Commercial Aerospace, and Low-altitude Economy [2].

Group 1: Primary Market - In the week from December 8 to December 12, 2025, a total of 369 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 459.51 billion, representing a week-on-week increase of 35.34% [4] - Among the issued bonds, industrial bonds accounted for 174 issues with a scale of 186.50 billion, up 62.28% week-on-week, making up 40.59% of the total issuance [4] - City investment bonds totaled 149 issues with a scale of 88.81 billion, down 7.82% week-on-week, representing 19.33% of the total [4] - Financial bonds had 46 issues with a scale of 184.20 billion, up 43.60% week-on-week, comprising 40.09% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.80 years, with industrial bonds averaging 2.36 years, city investment bonds 3.34 years, and financial bonds 2.48 years [4] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.24%, with industrial bonds at 2.19%, city investment bonds at 2.39%, and financial bonds at 1.96% [4] - Four credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Group 2: Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, which rose by 3.1 basis points, while the largest decrease was in pharmaceuticals and biology, down 4.2 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in electrical equipment, up 2.7 basis points, and the largest decrease was in building materials, down 12.7 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA-rated industries was in machinery equipment, up 4.9 basis points, while the largest decrease was in public utilities, down 2.8 basis points [5] - For city investment bonds, the largest increase in AAA-rated credit spreads was in Yunnan, up 4.7 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Guangdong, down 3.7 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA+ rated credit spreads was in Beijing, up 13 basis points, while the largest decrease was in Shaanxi, down 4.8 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA-rated credit spreads was in Yunnan, up 4.9 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Shaanxi, down 9.8 basis points [5] Group 3: Trading Volume - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1625.43 billion, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 36.58% [6] - The top three categories by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 628.04 billion, up 60.23% week-on-week, accounting for 38.64% of the total trading volume [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 402.76 billion, up 10.55% week-on-week, making up 24.78% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 294.03 billion, up 23.12% week-on-week, representing 18.09% of the total [6]

证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 12 日 星期五 【下周策略】 ◆本周走势回顾 本周沪指震荡调整，全周市场交投活跃度仍保持高位，量能均 超 1.7 万亿元，周一及周五更是站上两万亿。从周 K 线来看，上证 指数下跌 0.34%，深证成指上涨 0.84%，创业板指上涨 2.74%，科创 50 指数上涨 1.72%，北证 50 指数上涨 2.79%。个股板块跌多涨少， 通信、国防军工、电子、机械设备和电力设备等板块涨幅靠前，煤 炭、石油石化、钢铁、房地产和纺织服饰等板块跌幅靠前。 ◆下周大势研判：震荡盘升 从本周市场来看： 首先，12 月中央政治局会议和中央经济工作会议相继召开，为 2026 年经济工作定向。 其次，11 月出口延续强韧性，CPI 同比涨幅继续修复。 最后，美联储如期降息 25 个基点，本次议息会议的基调中性 偏鸽。 总体来看，本周沪指震荡调整，全周市场交投活跃度仍保持高 位，量能均超 1.7 万亿元，周一及周五更是站上两万亿。从海外环 境来看，美联储 12 月议息会议如期降息 25 个基点至 3.50%-3.75%， 为年内第三次降息。此次议息会议的基调中性偏鸽，但会后点阵图 显示 202 ...

证券研究报告 2025 年 12 月 12 日 星期五 【A 股市场大势研判】 大盘震荡调整，三大指数集体收跌 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 3873.32 | -0.70% | -27.18 | | | 深证成指 | 13147.39 | -1.27% | -169.04 | | | 沪深 300 | 4552.18 | -0.86% | -39.64 | | | 创业板 | 3163.67 | -1.41% | -45.33 | | | 科创 50 | 1325.83 | -1.55% | -20.87 | | | 北证 50 | 1443.17 | 3.84% | 53.37 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 银行 | 0.1 ...

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周二晨报提醒，虽然周一 A 股延续强势，不过，仍存结构性隐忧。驱动行情 的是"政策预期"与"情绪修复"，而非扎实的"基本面改善"。上行中可能还有震荡， 市场走势如我们预期，周二沪深三大指数涨跌不一，个股涨少跌多，整体维持弱 势震荡格局。 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 12 月 10 日 密切关注两大因素 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 密切跟踪美联储议息会议与国内重要会议的进展，根据政策信号动态调整持 仓结构：若出现超预期利好，可适度提升仓位参与结构性机会；若政策不及预期 或海外风险升温，则应进一步收缩防线，聚焦核心资产。 操作上，轻指数，重个股。踏准板块轮动节奏，采取均衡配置、高抛低吸或 是占优策略。无论是科技成长方向（半导体芯片、泛 AI 主题及机器人行业等）， 还是顺周期行业（光伏、电池、储能、化工、煤炭、有色等），亦或是红利股（银 行、公用事业、"大象股"等），尽量选择有业绩支持的标的逢低布局，远离缺乏业 绩支撑的高 ...

证券之星消息，12月5日，国企改革（399974）指数报收于1869.16点，涨0.91%，成交1154.51亿元，换 手率0.76%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨的有71家，金风科技以5.46%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有28家，深南 电路以2.74%的跌幅领跌。 国企改革（399974）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sh601899 | 紫金矿业 | 3.48% | 31.32 | 2.05% | | 8324.09 | ■ 有色金属 | | sh600036 | 招商银行 | 3.03% | 43.45 | 0.53% | | 10958.02 | ● 银行 | | sh600900 | 长江电力 | 2.98% | 28.07 | -0.60% | | 6868.23 | 公用事业 | | sz002371 | 北方华创 | 2.96% | 450.50 | 0.16% | S | 3263.76 | 甲子 | ...

Group 1 - The Shanghai Municipal Housing and Urban-Rural Development Committee's Science and Technology Committee has completed nearly 30,000 important projects over the past 40 years, contributing significantly to high-quality urban development in Shanghai [1] - The establishment of the Shanghai Construction Technology Development Foundation aims to facilitate the funding, management, and allocation of resources necessary for construction technology development, creating a positive cycle [3][5] - The Science and Technology Committee serves as a consulting body for major scientific and technological issues and policy recommendations, enhancing the macro-management capabilities of government departments [2][5] Group 2 - The Asia-Pacific Urban Technology Cooperation Network was established to strengthen horizontal connections among cities in the Asia-Pacific region, promoting international cooperation in various fields [8] - The Shanghai Municipal Construction Committee has initiated the establishment of four specialized research centers focusing on carbon neutrality, urban underground space utilization, water resource protection, and smart city management [23][25] - The recent Shanghai Housing and Urban-Rural Development Industry Technology Conference emphasized the theme "Empowering Technology, Innovative Development," aligning with national development strategies and promoting high-quality development in the Yangtze River Delta region [35][37]

Market Overview - On October 21, several stocks in Hubei, including Hubei Broadcasting, Huilv Ecology, Donghu Gaoxin, and others, experienced a collective surge, with many reaching their daily limit [1] - Notable increases were also observed in investment companies such as Luxin Venture Capital and China High-Tech [1] Event: Deepening State-Owned Asset Management Reform in Hubei - Hubei is focusing on the principles of assetization, securitization, and leveraging of state-owned resources, aiming to deepen the management reform of state-owned "three assets" [3] - As of the end of September, the total amount of state-owned "three assets" in Wuhan exceeded 6 trillion yuan, with 206.15 billion yuan of assets revitalized and 111.05 billion yuan in revitalization income achieved [3] Institutional Insights - The dividend retention effect of central enterprises is significant, with the proportion of local state-owned enterprises' securitization having greater potential for increase [4] - It is expected that mergers and acquisitions among central state-owned enterprises will progress during the 14th Five-Year Plan, driven by various factors including optimization of traditional businesses and exploration of new sectors [4] - The emergence of "state-owned + industry" acquisition models is noted, with an increase in local state-owned enterprises partnering with industrial capital to enter the A-share market [4] - In Xinjiang, state-owned enterprises are both beneficiaries of regional development and participants in business restructuring, with significant potential for asset integration and management optimization [4]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of October 15, the market's latest financing balance reached 24,325.47 billion yuan, reflecting an increase of 23.14 billion yuan from the previous trading day, indicating a mixed trend across various industries [1]. Industry Financing Balance Changes - **Industries with Increased Financing Balance**: - The non-ferrous metals industry saw the largest increase, with a financing balance up by 9.45 billion yuan, totaling 1,205.76 billion yuan, a growth of 0.79% [1]. - Other notable increases were in the electric equipment (up 7.65 billion yuan), public utilities (up 4.02 billion yuan), and machinery equipment (up 3.73 billion yuan) [1]. - **Industries with Decreased Financing Balance**: - The telecommunications sector experienced the most significant decrease, down by 12.33 billion yuan, bringing its total to 1,045.01 billion yuan, a decline of 1.17% [2]. - Other sectors with notable decreases included electronics (down 7.42 billion yuan) and steel (down 6.95 billion yuan) [2]. Percentage Changes in Financing Balance - The non-ferrous metals industry had the highest percentage increase in financing balance at 0.79%, followed by public utilities (0.77%) and media (0.75%) [1]. - Conversely, the steel industry recorded the largest percentage decrease at 3.97%, followed by telecommunications (1.17%) and food and beverage (0.84%) [1].