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甬金股份:一季度盈利回落,规模有望持续扩张-20250427
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-04-27 01:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in net profit in Q1 2025, with a net profit of 1.04 billion yuan, down 15.41% year-on-year and 53.19% quarter-on-quarter. However, the overall sales and production volumes are expected to grow in 2025 [1][2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and transitioning towards deeper processing, with several projects underway, including new production lines for stainless steel and titanium materials [3]. - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with expected revenues of 450 to 500 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 9.10% to 20.40% [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenues of 93.89 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.89%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.04 billion yuan, a decrease of 15.41% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s cold-rolled stainless steel production in Q1 2025 was 763,000 tons, a decline of 1.5% year-on-year, while sales volume was 726,000 tons, an increase of 3.7% year-on-year [2]. Production and Capacity Expansion - The company has several projects in progress, including a 400,000-ton stainless steel plate production line and a titanium alloy production line, which are expected to enhance production capacity significantly [3]. - The company plans to produce 3.8 million tons of cold-rolled stainless steel in 2025, with a projected revenue of 450 to 500 billion yuan [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 8.6 billion yuan, 9.6 billion yuan, and 10.9 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 7.7, 6.9, and 6.0 [4][5].