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大行评级丨大摩:预计港交所第三季度利润按年增长59% 维持“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-23 07:37
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley anticipates strong revenue and profit growth for Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (HKEX) continuing until Q3 2025, driven by a robust average daily trading volume (ADV) of HKD 286 billion and high liquidity [1] Group 1: Revenue and Profit Growth - The firm expects core business growth to remain strong in Q3, with trading fees and clearing fees increasing by 75% and 97% year-on-year, respectively [1] - Revenue and profit are projected to grow by 47% and 59% year-on-year by Q3 2025, respectively, with EBITDA margin increasing by 7 percentage points to 80% [1] Group 2: Market Activity and Conditions - Increased trading activity in the Hong Kong capital market is noted as evidence of the financial system cycle bottoming out [1] - The second quarter's high foreign exchange earnings have created a high base, and the ongoing low interest rate environment is expected to lead to a 22% quarter-on-quarter decrease in net investment income for Q3 [1] Group 3: Investment Rating - Morgan Stanley maintains an "Overweight" rating for HKEX with a target price set at HKD 508 [1]