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安宁股份(002978):安宁股份更新报告:收购经质矿产,公司资源量大幅上升
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][11]. Core Views - The company plans to acquire Jingzhi Minerals for 6.5 billion CNY, which will significantly increase its ore resource volume. The expected production of titanium concentrate and vanadium-titanium iron concentrate will rise, and the company's performance is anticipated to gradually improve as new mines commence operations [2][11]. - The acquisition is expected to create strong synergies as the newly acquired mine is part of the same mineral vein as the company's existing operations, allowing for collaborative mining efforts [11]. - The company is progressing steadily with its 60,000-ton titanium material project, which will extend its current titanium concentrate business and open new growth opportunities in various applications [11]. Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 1,856 million CNY, with a slight decrease of 7.0% from the previous year. Revenue is expected to grow to 3,325 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a significant increase of 63.2% [4][12]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 936 million CNY in 2023, with a decline of 14.5%, but is expected to rise to 1,029 million CNY by 2027 [4][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.98 CNY in 2023, increasing to 2.18 CNY by 2027 [4][12]. Valuation - The target price for the company has been raised to 39 CNY, based on a 20x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for 2025, which is slightly above the industry average [11][13]. - The current market price is 29.61 CNY, with a market capitalization of 13,976 million CNY [6][11]. Industry Context - The company operates in the metals and mining sector, focusing on titanium concentrate and iron ore, with plans to expand into titanium materials [5][11]. - The report compares the company with peers in the industry, indicating a favorable position due to its resource base and ongoing projects [13].