美东时间11月28日周五，感恩节次日，美股提前三小时收盘，三大指数齐涨。科技股普涨，英特尔涨超10%，创9月18日以来最佳单日表现。WTI原油连 续第四个月下跌。白银和铜齐创纪录新高。 三大股指本周涨幅均超3% 道指涨289.30点，涨幅为0.61%，报47716.42点；纳指涨151.00点，涨幅为0.65%，报23365.69点；标普500指数涨36.48点，涨幅为0.54%，报6849.09点。 受益于科技股的反弹，本周三大指数均实现了较大幅度的上涨。其中，道琼斯指数本周累计涨幅达3.18%，标准普尔500指数上涨3.73%，纳斯达克指数涨 幅为4.91%。 11月，道指涨0.32%，标普500指数涨0.13%，纳指跌1.51%。 高盛集团的交易部门称，虽然标普500指数11月可能以基本持平收官，但随着波动性回落、美股广度改善以及趋势跟随策略转为买方，前路已变得明显更 为清晰。 芝商所的期货与期权交易因数据中心故障而暂停，致使股票、外汇、债券以及大宗商品市场的交易中断了数小时。据数据中心运营商赛勒斯万 （CyrusOne）披露，此次故障是由芝加哥地区一座数据中心的冷却系统问题所引发。该公司发言人表示，工 ...

Investment Chain - Prices of tin, silver, and gold have risen since November 2025. [1] - Fixed asset investment growth rate has decreased to -1.70% as of October 2025, with real estate development investment down by -14.70%. [1] - Manufacturing fixed asset investment growth rate is at 2.7%, while infrastructure investment growth rate is at 1.51%. [1] - Prices of copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and nickel have decreased, while power coal prices slightly increased to 698 RMB/ton. [1] Consumption Chain - Consumer confidence index rose to 89.60 in September 2025. [2] - Nominal growth rate for October 2025 fell to 2.90%, with cumulative nominal growth rate down by 4.30%. [2] - Sales area of commercial housing saw a cumulative year-on-year decline of -7.63% in October 2025. [2] - Automobile sales growth rate decreased to 8.82% in October 2025, and home appliance retail sales fell by -10.25%. [2] Export Chain - Export growth rate to the US increased in October 2025, while exports to the EU, Japan, and ASEAN saw a decline. [3] - Cumulative export growth rates for products like agricultural goods, toys, furniture, and steel have decreased. [3] - The overall export growth rate fell to 20.21% in October 2025, with textile exports down by -9.10%. [3] Price Chain - Pork prices increased to 12.24 RMB/kg as of November 19, 2025, while oil prices decreased to 57.95 USD/barrel. [4] - Prices for cotton and white sugar have declined, while MDI prices showed mixed trends. [4] - New credit increased to 220 billion RMB in October 2025, with life insurance premium income growth rate down to 12.68%. [4]

Group 1 - The domestic commodity futures market showed a mixed performance on November 27, with platinum leading the gains, rising over 6%, followed by silver and tin with increases of over 3% and 2% respectively [1][2] - The China Securities Commodity Futures Price Index closed at 1481.51 points, up 9.37 points or 0.64% from the previous trading day, while the China Securities Commodity Index closed at 2048.35 points, up 12.96 points or 0.64% [1] Group 2 - The precious metals sector remained strong, driven by expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, which supported gold prices and consequently boosted silver and platinum prices due to supply shortages [2][3] - Tin prices surged over 2% due to concerns over supply disruptions from the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, with prices breaking the 300,000 yuan per ton mark [3] Group 3 - Agricultural products mostly rose, with eggs experiencing a significant rebound of over 2%, and various oilseed products increasing by over 1% [4] - Lithium carbonate futures fell by 1.68%, with market sentiment weakening despite strong demand expectations and decreasing inventory [5] - Asphalt futures continued to trend weak, dropping by 1.41% due to declining demand as temperatures fell, leading to a subdued market [5]

A股小金属概念拉升，贵研铂业（600459）涨超8%，西部矿业、藏格矿业等跟涨。 | < V | 小金属概念 3436.67 1.45% | | ri Q | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 成份股 | 股吧 | | 资讯 | | 名称 | 最新 | 涨幅 ↓ | 涨跌 | | 贵研铂业 600459 融 | 18.33 | 8.33% | 1.41 | | 石国路 / 002428 註 | 26.78 | 6.99% | 1.75 | | 南都申源 300068 融 | 17.76 | 5.46% | 0.92 | | 锡业股份 000960 融 | 24.26 | 5.11% | 1.18 | | 当升科技 300073 融 | 60.51 | 4.53% | 2.62 | | 容自科技 688005 科创 盟 | 31.04 | 4.20% | 1.25 | 11月27日，A股三大指数开盘涨跌不一。截至发稿，沪指涨0.49%，深证成指涨0.96%，创业板指涨超1%。盘面上，工业金属、光伏设备、半导体等板块 涨幅居前。 铂期货、钯期货今日在广期所上市交易。铂期货PT2606、PT2 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas Macro: On November 21st, the New York Fed President's speech hinted at a possible near - term interest rate cut, boosting the expectation of a December rate cut. The Fed's expectation management is shifting, and it is recommended to follow the key voting members' speeches and potential new chair nominations around Thanksgiving [8]. - Domestic Macro: China's internal economic momentum remains weak and stable. The issuance of 500 billion yuan in policy - based financial instruments in October, the accelerated issuance of special bonds in November, and the release of debt - resolution surplus quotas may benefit Q4 infrastructure investment. The loan prime rate has remained stable since May, suggesting the central bank may not rush to further relax policies. New and second - hand housing sales and land supply have increased, but land transactions remain low, and real - estate work demand and production capacity have declined [8]. - Asset Views: Due to differences among Fed policymakers on a December rate cut, a hawkish October meeting minutes, and strong September non - farm payrolls, the December rate - cut expectation was initially lowered, and the US dollar index rose. However, the New York Fed President's speech lifted the rate - cut expectation. It is recommended to balance asset allocation in Q4, and pay attention to opportunities in stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), and precious metals during market dips [8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Essentials - Overseas: The Fed's expectation management is shifting, with a possible dovish turn in key figures' speeches in the next two weeks [8]. - Domestic: Policy measures may support Q4 infrastructure investment. The central bank may not rush to relax policies. Real - estate sales have improved, but land transactions and work demand are weak [8]. - Asset Allocation: Balance asset allocation in Q4. Look for buying opportunities in stock indices, non - ferrous metals, and precious metals during market dips [8]. 3.2 Viewpoint Highlights - **Financial Sector**: With reduced overseas shocks, the risk appetite may rise. Stock index futures may rise in a volatile manner, stock index options may remain stable, and treasury bond futures may also rise in a volatile way [9]. - **Precious Metals**: In a short - term adjustment phase, gold and silver prices are expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Shipping**: Attention should be paid to the freight rate decline rate of the European container shipping line, which is expected to be volatile [9]. - **Black Building Materials**: The rebound momentum is weakening. Steel, iron ore, coke, and other products are expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Optimism is rising, and base metals may stop falling and rebound, with most products expected to fluctuate [9]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: The trade situation has slightly eased, but the supply - demand imbalance persists. Most energy and chemical products are expected to fluctuate, while some may decline [11]. - **Agriculture**: Market sentiment has improved, but trends are divergent. Some agricultural products are expected to rise, while others may decline or remain stable [11].

11月26日（周三），伦敦金属交易所（LME）期铜升至近一个月来最高，市场普遍预期美联储将在12 月降息，且在金属流向美国库存后，价格料将进一步上涨。 伦敦时间11月26日17:00(北京时间11月27日01:00)，LME三个月期铜上涨157美元，或1.45%，收报每吨 10,975.0美元；此前触及11,025美元的10月30日以来最高。 | | 11月26日 LIE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | --- | --- | --- | | 金屋 | 收盘价 | 张跃 张紫幅 | | 三个月期铜 | | 10,975.00 ↑ +157.00 ↑ +1.45% | | 三个月期铝 | 2,861.00 ↑ | +60.50 ↑ +2.16% | | 三个月期锌 | 3,056.50 ↑ | +63.50 ↑ +2.12% | | 三个月期铅 | 1,979.50 ↓ | -1.00 -0.05% | | 三个月期镇 | 14,823.00 ↓ | -49.00 ↓ -0.33% | | 三个月期锡 | 37,991.00 ↑ +444.00 ↑ +1.18% | | 今年以来，LME注册仓库铜库存大 ...

证券之星消息，11月26日工业金属板块较上一交易日下跌0.19%，银邦股份领跌。当日上证指数报收于 3864.18，下跌0.15%。深证成指报收于12907.83，上涨1.02%。工业金属板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300337 | 银邦股份 | 9.97 | -4.04% | 27.39万 | 2.78亿 | | 002379 | 宏创控股 | 19.72 | -2.90% | 13.78万 | 2.75 亿 | | 603937 | 顾岛新材 | 12.32 | -2.76% | 4.71万 | 5884.17万 | | 002824 | 和胜股份 | 18.29 | -2.71% | 5.44万 | 1.01亿 | | 920634 | 新威凌 | 23.58 | -2.56% | 8110.03 | 1940.42万 | | 603876 | 鼎胜新材 | 13.26 | -2.50% | 47.86万 | 6.55亿 | | 002540 | ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the increasing uncertainty and volatility in the commodity market for 2025, driven by global economic slowdown and geopolitical tensions, leading to a complex scenario of "falling prices and heightened volatility" [2] - It emphasizes the need for companies to redefine resilience and competitiveness in light of these challenges, particularly with the upcoming launch of platinum and palladium futures [2] Market Dynamics - The commodity market is experiencing a divergence in trends across energy, metals, and agricultural products, with traditional supply-demand logic being disrupted [2] - Companies are facing unprecedented challenges in cost control, supply chain stability, and strategic transformation [2] Event Details - A seminar hosted by the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) in Hangzhou will explore the opportunities presented by the "14th Five-Year Plan" for the copper market and provide exclusive data on gold, silver, platinum, and palladium [2][3] - The event is scheduled for December 4, 2025, and will feature various expert speakers discussing market insights and forecasts [3][4] Expert Contributions - Kian Pang Tan, an expert in agricultural research, will share insights on the palm oil market, leveraging over ten years of experience and advanced data analysis techniques [6] - Fu Xiaoyan, a senior director at Nanhua Futures, will discuss opportunities in the copper market, drawing from extensive experience in the futures industry [7][8] - Chen Xiaoyan, the agricultural research director at Dadi Futures, will provide an outlook on the cotton market amid changing tariff dynamics [9] Data and Analytics - LSEG emphasizes the importance of structured data utilization in commodity trading, highlighting the need for accurate information to enhance decision-making processes [13][14] - The company offers comprehensive solutions for energy, metals, and agricultural trading, utilizing a vast database and a team of analysts to support clients in identifying market opportunities [16][17][20]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced significant pullbacks last week, with the Hang Seng Technology Index declining by 5.1% and the Hang Seng Index by 7.2% [1][2] - The market's downturn was attributed to mixed signals from the U.S. labor market, where job growth exceeded expectations but the unemployment rate reached a four-year high, creating uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [2][3] - The overall sentiment in the market is cautious, particularly in the technology sector, which has been under pressure, as indicated by the low fear and greed indices for both the Hang Seng Technology Index and the Hang Seng Index [2][4] Group 2 - Looking ahead, the macroeconomic environment suggests a potential for a "slow bull" market as the Federal Reserve is expected to enter a rate-cutting phase, leading to increased global liquidity [3][4] - Investment strategies should focus on sectors benefiting from technological advancements, such as AI and robotics, which are currently at a critical commercialization phase [4] - The report highlights the importance of resource scarcity and the transition to energy transformation, suggesting that sectors like metals may experience valuation premiums due to structural supply-demand mismatches [4][5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Overseas: On the evening of November 21st, the New York Fed President's speech hinted at a possible near - term interest rate cut, boosting the December rate - cut expectation. The Fed's expectation management is shifting, and it's possible that key figures will turn dovish in the next two weeks. The US GDP in the third and fourth quarters is expected to face pressure due to various factors such as the decline in core shipments in August, rising unemployment rate in September, and weakening manufacturing PMI in November [5]. - Domestic: The domestic endogenous momentum remains weak and stable. The issuance of 500 billion policy - based financial instruments in October, the accelerated issuance of special bonds in November, and the release of the debt - resolution surplus quota may bring marginal benefits to infrastructure investment in the fourth quarter. The central bank may not be in a hurry to further relax policies in the short term [5]. - Asset Views: Due to the Fed's divergence on the December rate cut, the hawkish tone of the October meeting minutes, and the better - than - expected September non - farm data, the December rate - cut expectation was once suppressed, and the US dollar index rose. After the New York Fed President's dovish speech, the market sentiment was boosted. It is recommended to allocate assets evenly in the fourth quarter and pay attention to the opportunities of stock indices, non - ferrous metals (copper, aluminum, tin), and precious metals [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Market Performance - **Stock Index Futures**: The CSI 300 futures rose 0.15% daily and weekly, fell 4.24% monthly and 3.96% quarterly, and rose 13.11% this year. The SSE 50 futures fell 0.07% daily and weekly, 2.35% monthly and 1.49% quarterly. The CSI 500 futures rose 0.85% daily and weekly, fell 5.735% monthly and 6.25% quarterly, and rose 19.93% this year. The CSI 1000 futures rose 1.10% daily and weekly, fell 3.71% monthly and 4.20% quarterly, and rose 21.31% this year [2]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The 2 - year Treasury bond futures rose 0.014 daily and weekly, fell 0.08% monthly, rose 0.134 quarterly, and fell 0.54% this year. The 5 - year Treasury bond futures rose 0.03% daily and weekly, fell 0.16% monthly, rose 0.25% quarterly, and fell 0.61% this year [2]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The US dollar index was flat daily, rose 0.100% weekly, 0.42% monthly, and 2.383% quarterly. The euro - US dollar exchange rate had no change daily and weekly, fell 23 pips monthly and 221 pips quarterly, and rose 1160 pips this year [2]. - **Interest Rates**: The 7 - day inter - bank pledged repo rate was flat daily, weekly, and quarterly, fell 1 bp monthly, and fell 30 bp this year. The 10 - year Chinese government bond yield rose 0.3 bp daily, was flat weekly, rose 2.1 bp monthly, fell 44 bp quarterly, and rose 0.1 bp this year [2]. - **Hot Industries**: The national defense and military industry rose 4.45% daily and weekly, fell 0.31% monthly and 2.95% quarterly, and rose 17.50% this year. The media industry rose 3.53% daily and 3.50% weekly, rose 0.68% monthly, fell 5.07% quarterly, and rose 30.89% this year [2]. - **Overseas Markets**: NYMEX WTI crude oil fell 1.834 daily, fell 2.93% weekly, 4.76% monthly, 7.13% quarterly, and 19.33% this year. ICE Brent crude oil fell 1.05% daily, 2.77% weekly, 3.21% monthly, 5.50% quarterly, and 16.469% this year [2]. - **Domestic Commodities**: The container shipping to Europe route rose 0.80% daily and weekly, rose 0.97% monthly, fell 4.52% quarterly, and fell 30.50% this year. Gold rose 0.36% daily and weekly, rose 0.58% monthly, 6.10% quarterly, and 50.634% this year [3]. 3.2 Short - term Market Judgments - **Financial**: Stock index futures are expected to rise in a volatile manner, stock index options to fluctuate, and Treasury bond futures to move in a narrow range [6]. - **Precious Metals**: Gold and silver are expected to move sideways [6]. - **Shipping**: The container shipping to Europe route and steel are expected to move sideways, and iron ore is also expected to trade within a range [6]. - **Black Building Materials**: Most black building materials such as coke, coking coal, and silicon iron are expected to move sideways, with some low - valued varieties having potential for a phased rebound [6]. - **Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials**: Most non - ferrous metals are expected to move sideways, with aluminum and lithium carbonate expected to rise in a volatile manner, and nickel expected to decline in a volatile way [6]. - **Energy and Chemicals**: Crude oil, LPG, asphalt, high - sulfur fuel oil, and low - sulfur fuel oil are expected to decline in a volatile manner. Most other energy and chemical products are expected to move sideways [8]. - **Agriculture**: Most agricultural products are expected to move sideways, with some such as soybean oil and sugar expected to decline in a volatile way [8].