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亚钾国际(000893):25Q1业绩显著改善 持续推进产能放量
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-30 02:40
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, but showed significant growth in Q1 2025, indicating a potential recovery trend in the upcoming quarters [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.548 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.97% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 950 million yuan, down 23.05% year-on-year [1]. - The adjusted net profit was 892 million yuan, reflecting a 30.00% decline year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.213 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 91.47% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.81% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 384 million yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 373.53% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 11.07% [1]. Production and Sales - The company achieved a record high in potash production in 2024, with a total output of 1.7414 million tons, up 10.24% from 2023 [2]. - Sales volume reached 1.8154 million tons, an increase of 8.42% year-on-year [2]. - In Q4 2024, production was 491,700 tons, a year-on-year increase of 4.62% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.74% [2]. - The sales volume in Q4 2024 was 500,000 tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.16% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 31.44% [2]. Pricing Trends - The average market price for potash fertilizer in 2024 was 2,488.35 yuan/ton, a decrease of 17.59% year-on-year [2]. - The company's average sales price for potassium chloride was 1,989.47 yuan/ton, down 17.04% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 49.47%, a decline of 15.74% year-on-year [2]. - In Q4 2024, the sales price for potassium chloride was 2,080.78 yuan/ton, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.29% [2]. Tax Policy Impact - The Lao government has approved a reduction in corporate income tax and export tax rates for the company, which is expected to enhance profitability [3]. - The corporate income tax rate will decrease from 35% to 20%, and the export tax rate will drop from 7% to 1.5% for the period from 2024 to 2028 [3]. Strategic Development - The company is focused on expanding its potash production capacity and has successfully initiated trials for its third 1 million tons/year potash project [4]. - Ongoing construction of the second and third 1 million tons/year potash projects is progressing, with significant milestones achieved in mining infrastructure [4]. - The company plans to acquire a 28.1447% stake in a subsidiary to enhance its potash resource development capabilities [4]. - The strategic goal is to achieve a potash production capacity of 5 million tons/year [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.58 billion yuan, 2.141 billion yuan, and 2.952 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [5]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 17, 13, and 9 times for the same period [5].