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亚钾国际(000893):钾肥量价双升驱动业绩高增,拓展非钾产业链
Shanxi Securities· 2025-09-03 10:47
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [5][8]. Core Views - The company's performance is driven by a dual increase in both the volume and price of potash, leading to significant revenue growth. In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.5%, and a net profit of 850 million yuan, up 216.6% year-on-year [5][6]. - The company is actively expanding its non-potash industry chain, which is expected to enhance the overall value of resource utilization and create additional economic benefits [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company produced 1.0141 million tons of potassium chloride, a 20.0% increase year-on-year, and sold 1.0454 million tons, a 21.4% increase year-on-year. The revenue from potassium chloride reached 2.46 billion yuan, up 48.3% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 58.2%, an increase of 10.3 percentage points [6]. - The average market price of potassium chloride in H1 2025 was 2,944 yuan per ton, a 20.6% increase year-on-year, and it rose to 3,276 yuan per ton from July 1 to August 27, 2025, reflecting an 11.3% increase compared to the first half of the year [6]. Resource Expansion - The company has secured a potash mining right covering 263.3 square kilometers in Laos, with a pure potassium chloride resource reserve of approximately 1 billion tons. The company is accelerating its capacity expansion, with a current annual capacity of 3 million tons and ongoing construction of additional projects [6]. Non-Potash Industry Development - The company is diversifying its operations by investing in bromine production, planning to expand its bromine capacity from 25,000 tons to 50,000 tons per year. This diversification aims to enhance resource utilization and strengthen the company's core competitiveness [7]. Future Earnings Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.89 billion yuan, 2.54 billion yuan, and 3.52 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16, 12, and 9 times [8].