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铜价高位整理
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铜价 料高位整理
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-10-10 01:49
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that copper prices are influenced by both bullish and bearish factors, with expectations of increased financial attributes for copper prices, but macroeconomic conditions may not provide substantial support [1][2] - Since September, copper prices have shown a strong performance, with market expectations for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, and disruptions in overseas copper mining operations contributing to price support [1][2] - The recent announcement of a significant mining disruption at Freeport's Grasberg mine and rising strike risks at Antofagasta's Los Pelambres mine have impacted market sentiment [2][3] Group 2 - Domestic smelting plants are expected to undergo large-scale maintenance in October, affecting refined copper output by over 130,000 tons, with supply tightening anticipated in the short term [3] - The cable industry has experienced a slowdown, with an overall operating rate around 70% and high inventory levels, but investment in power distribution networks is expected to accelerate production and sales in the fourth quarter [4] - The air conditioning industry is expected to gradually ramp up production, leading to improved demand for copper pipes, while the automotive sector, particularly driven by new energy vehicles, is projected to continue its upward trend in production and sales [4] Group 3 - Overall, the interplay of various factors suggests that copper prices may have limited room for short-term increases and are likely to enter a phase of high-level consolidation [5]