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常熟银行(601128):三年期及以上存款占比下降明显,负债成本改善力度加大
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-08-08 04:29
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Changshu Bank [5][10]. Core Views - Changshu Bank reported a revenue of 6.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.10%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2 billion yuan, up 13.51% year-on-year [1][2]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan (NPL) ratio of 0.76% as of the end of Q2 2025, and a provision coverage ratio of 489.5% [1][4]. - The bank's deposit structure is improving, with a notable decrease in the proportion of deposits with a maturity of three years or more, down 3.0 percentage points to 34.7% [9][10]. Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for H1 2025 were 10.10% and 13.51%, respectively, benefiting from accelerated scale growth and increased non-interest income [2]. - Net interest income grew by 0.83% year-on-year, while the net interest margin decreased to 2.58%, down 13 basis points from 2024 [2][3]. - Non-interest income saw a significant increase of 44.6% year-on-year, primarily driven by investment income [3]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio remained stable at 0.76% as of Q2 2025, with a slight increase in personal loan NPLs to 1.02% [4]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio is robust at 489.53%, indicating strong risk mitigation capabilities [4]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets reached 401.2 billion yuan, with loans totaling 251.5 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 9.2% and 5.2%, respectively [9]. - Total deposits amounted to 310.8 billion yuan, up 9.9% year-on-year, with a significant shift in the deposit structure favoring shorter-term deposits [9]. Financial Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 4.3 billion, 4.8 billion, and 5.3 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 12.23%, 11.70%, and 10.17% [10][11].