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兴业银锡(000426):银漫停产影响业绩,看好下半年盈利修复
China Post Securities· 2025-08-26 13:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.473 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.50%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.93% to 796 million yuan [4] - The decline in performance is primarily attributed to the suspension of operations at the Yinman Mine and losses at the Yubang Mine, along with reduced profits from Rongguan and Qianjinda mines [4][5] - The company expects a recovery in operations in the second half of the year, supported by a significant increase in silver and tin prices in Q3 [6] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 42.38 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 66.5 billion yuan [3] - The company has a total share capital of 1.57 billion shares, with an asset-liability ratio of 8.2% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.84 [3] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 131.32 tons of silver (up 4.57% year-on-year) and 3589.82 tons of tin (down 20.64% year-on-year) [6] - The average prices for silver and tin increased by 20.31% and 9.23% year-on-year, respectively [6] - The company forecasts revenues of 5.092 billion yuan, 6.184 billion yuan, and 7.140 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.950 billion yuan, 2.303 billion yuan, and 2.782 billion yuan [7][8] Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.10 yuan, 1.30 yuan, and 1.57 yuan, respectively [7] - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are 18.72, 15.85, and 13.12 [7]