消息面上，宁德时代（300750）公告，公司在宜春项目采矿许可证8月9日到期后已暂停开采作业。银河 证券表示，预计枧下窝矿或将停产较长时间，预计将影响国内碳酸锂产量近12%，锂盐行业供应过剩的 格局将得到改善。此外，在枧下窝陶瓷土矿停产后，市场对宜春其他7家锂云母矿的停产预期或将提 升，带来更强烈的锂供应收缩预期。 但也有市场人士表示，锂价反弹的持续性如何仍待后续观察。中信建投（601066）期货分析师张维鑫认 为，枧下窝矿区此次停产的影响小于上一次。2025年1月，该矿区停产后，碳酸锂价格在75000~80000 元/吨区间运行。彼时，价格上涨的支撑来自市场对需求的强劲预期。目前虽然市场对需求旺季仍有期 待，但对下半年的整体需求增量已缺乏想象空间。 锂业股早盘回落，截至发稿，天齐锂业（002466）(09696)跌6.81%，报45.18港元；赣锋锂业（002460） (01772)跌4.59%，报32.44港元。 ...

Group 1 - Lithium stocks experienced a decline, with Tianqi Lithium down 6.81% to HKD 45.18 and Ganfeng Lithium down 4.59% to HKD 32.44 [1] - CATL announced the suspension of mining operations at its Yichun project after the mining license expired on August 9, which is expected to impact domestic lithium carbonate production by nearly 12% [1] - The suspension of the Jiangxiawo mine is anticipated to lead to increased expectations of production halts at other lithium mica mines in Yichun, resulting in stronger expectations for lithium supply contraction [1] Group 2 - Market analysts express uncertainty about the sustainability of lithium price rebounds, with CITIC Futures analyst Zhang Weixin noting that the impact of the Jiangxiawo mine's suspension is less significant than the previous suspension [1] - In January 2025, following a previous suspension, lithium carbonate prices ranged between CNY 75,000 and CNY 80,000 per ton, supported by strong demand expectations [1] - Although there are expectations for a demand peak in the market, there is a lack of imagination regarding overall demand growth for the second half of the year [1]