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锂电中游涨价逻辑
数说新能源· 2025-12-26 03:17
Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is expected to see new capacity primarily released in the second half of 2026, with a relatively tight supply in the first half, maintaining high industry capacity utilization rates [4] - On the demand side, battery manufacturers are expected to ramp up production after the Spring Festival (late February to March), coupled with seasonal inventory replenishment, leading to a phase of peak demand [4] Pricing Mechanism and Price Transmission - Major customer agreements adopt a "volume lock, price not locked" model, where prices are adjusted dynamically based on market conditions, typically using a "M-1 discount" method (discount based on the previous month's market price) [4] - Price transmission is smooth, with enhanced bargaining power along the supply chain, allowing cost pressures to be effectively passed down to downstream players [4] Market Trends - The growth in the energy storage market is outpacing that of the power market, indicating a shift in market dynamics [10] Strategic Moves - Companies like BYD are expanding their presence in Southeast Asia, indicating a strategic focus on international markets [7]