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7月锂电排产同环比俱增
高工锂电· 2025-07-02 11:42
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growth trends in the lithium battery and energy storage industries, emphasizing the increasing production and sales of new energy vehicles, particularly in the commercial vehicle sector, and the anticipated expansion of production capacity in various material segments. Group 1: Lithium Battery Production and Sales - In July, the overall production of batteries in China exceeded 130 GWh, marking a nearly 40% year-on-year increase; the production of negative electrodes, separators, and electrolytes saw a 2% month-on-month increase, while positive materials experienced a decline [1][3] - The sales of new energy heavy trucks in China reached 30,000 units in the first quarter of 2025, representing a 176% year-on-year growth, with a market penetration rate of 11.51%; the total sales for 2025 are expected to reach 160,000 units, nearly doubling from the previous year [1][3] - In the passenger vehicle market, promotional activities in June supported growth, with companies like Leap Motor and XPeng Motors reporting significant year-on-year sales increases [1] Group 2: Energy Storage Market Dynamics - The reduction of tariffs in the U.S. has triggered a "rush to export," with China's energy storage cell exports expected to exceed 25 Wh, reflecting a 10% month-on-month increase; there is a surge in orders for solar-storage projects in the Middle East and a completion of inventory in Europe [2] - The current production trends indicate that the industry is at the bottom of the cycle, with positive signals for future demand recovery [3] Group 3: Material Segment Trends - The material segment is entering a recovery phase after two years of "volume increase and price decline"; prices and processing fees for lithium battery materials are expected to bottom out starting in the second half of 2024, with a new round of capacity expansion anticipated in 2025 [5] - The overall expansion of the lithium battery supply chain is expected to follow a "partial start, then overall promotion" rhythm, with lithium mines and lithium salts expected to catch up in the 2026-2029 period [5] Group 4: Industry Consolidation and Technological Advancements - The industry is experiencing increased concentration, with a trend of "big fish eating small fish," leading to a concentration of profits and influence among leading companies; solid-state batteries are signaling industrialization, with significant capacity expansions expected in 2025 [6] - In the first four months of 2025, over 50 GWh of new production capacity was added, with investments exceeding 20 billion yuan; six companies have established production lines exceeding 1.5 GWh [6]