锂电正极材料扩产
Search documents
景津装备(603279):业绩短期承压,看好锂电反转带动需求上行
China Post Securities· 2025-11-11 07:43
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative increase in stock price of over 20% compared to the benchmark index within the next six months [7][14]. Core Views - The company has faced short-term pressure on performance, primarily due to challenges in the new energy sector and product price declines. Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 4.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.7% year-on-year, with net profit dropping by 34.53% to 435 million yuan [4][5]. - Despite the performance decline, the company’s operating cash flow has improved, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 658 million yuan, an increase of 11.73% year-on-year, which is expected to support dividend payouts [5]. - The report anticipates a demand rebound in the lithium battery sector, driven by new production expansions in lithium iron phosphate materials, which is expected to positively impact the filter press industry [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Latest closing price: 16.72 yuan - Total shares: 576 million, with a total market capitalization of 9.6 billion yuan [3]. Financial Performance - For Q1-Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 10.7% year-on-year, and a net profit of 435 million yuan, down 34.53% [4][5]. - The gross margin decreased by 4.59 percentage points to 24.47%, while the expense ratio slightly increased to 9.48% [5]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 5.55 billion, 6.22 billion, and 6.87 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -9.43%, 11.95%, and 10.47% respectively. Net profits are expected to be 601 million, 729 million, and 871 million yuan, with growth rates of -29.11%, 21.23%, and 19.49% [7][10]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 16.03, 13.22, and 11.06 [7].