锡价上涨预期
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锡业股份(000960):缴纳采矿权出让收益影响24Q4归母净利润 预计25年业绩受益锡价上涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-04 07:57
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.44 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 1.94 billion yuan, up 40.5% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 161 million yuan, a decrease of 67% quarter-on-quarter and 49% year-on-year [1] - The decline in Q4 net profit was primarily due to the costs associated with mining rights transfer payments, totaling approximately 514 million yuan [2] - Average prices for metals in Q4 2024 included copper at 75,500 yuan/ton (up 0.5% quarter-on-quarter), tin at 251,000 yuan/ton (down 3.6%), and zinc at 25,500 yuan/ton (up 8.4%) [2] - Tin ingot production in 2024 increased by 19% year-on-year, with production figures for tin, copper, and zinc at 78,500 tons, 130,300 tons, and 145,600 tons respectively [2] Strategic Developments - The company signed a cooperation agreement with the government of Keshiketeng on December 23, 2024, to integrate tin resources in the region [3] - A strategic cooperation framework agreement was signed with Xingye Silver Tin on January 21, 2025, aimed at enhancing collaboration in resources, business, and technology [3] Market Outlook - Tin prices are expected to remain high due to supply constraints, with Alphamin Resources announcing a production halt and delays in the resumption of operations in Myanmar [3] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, expecting net profits of 2.41 billion yuan and 2.50 billion yuan respectively, reflecting increases of 9% and 3% [4] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 show a year-on-year growth of 66.5%, 4.1%, and 4.2% respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 11, 11, and 10 times [4]