2025 年 7 月 8 日 锡：价格走弱 | 锡基本面数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅% | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 263,520 | -1.40% | 263,660 | -0.76% | | | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 33,260 | -1.51% | - | - | | 期 货 及 现 | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 84,417 | 976 | 28,262 | -2,457 | | 货 电 子 盘 | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 180 | - 9 | 13,988 | 5 3 | | | | 昨日期货库存 | 较前日变动 | 注销仓单比 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪 锡 | 6,868 | 6 1 | - | - | | | 伦 锡 | 2,085 | -25 | 6.57% | -0.38% | | | | | 昨 日 | 前 日 | 较前日变动 | | 现 货 | SMM 1#锡锭价格 | | ...

2025 年 7 月 2 日 锡：宏观环境带动上行 | 王蓉 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002529 | wangrong013179@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘雨萱 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 | liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com | 【基本面跟踪】 锡基本面数据 | | 锡基本面数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅% | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 269,840 | 0.65% | 269840 | 0.63% | | 期 货 | | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 33,750 | 0.55% | - | - | | 及 现 | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 货 电 | | 沪锡主力合约 | 70,070 | -14,968 | 31,494 | 1 0 | | 子 盘 | | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 180 | - 9 | 13,988 | 5 ...

锡虽然是全球定价的商品，但相比铜、铝等大宗商品来说，锡应该算是小商品，全球地壳中锡的含量较 少。全球锡资源分布比较集中，主要分布在中国、印尼、缅甸、澳大利亚等地，近年来，全球新增矿山 比较有限，因此供应弹性不高。锡矿供应变化，对盘面形成较大扰动，尤其是在2023年8月缅甸禁止锡 矿开采后，这种情况更加明显。2025年上半年沪锡走出冲高回落走势，主要受供应扰动和宏观情绪变化 影响 一、行情回顾 二、供应端现实偏紧 远期增加预期明确 缅甸是全球第三大锡生产国（占全球总供应量的15%~20%），其核心产区佤邦贡献了该国90%的产 量，更是中国锡矿进口的"命脉"。禁矿前，从缅甸进口的锡矿占国内进口总量的比重通常在90%以上， 2023年8月缅甸锡矿禁采后，中国开拓非洲锡矿等进口渠道，但无法弥补缅甸锡矿的进口缺失。2024年 二季度开始，我国锡矿进口量断崖式下滑，今年进口维持低位。据中国海关总署数据显示，2025年5月 中国锡矿进口量为1.34万吨(折合约6518金属吨)环比增加36.39%，同比增加59.84%，较4月份增加2182 金属吨(4月份折合4336金属吨)。1-5月累计进口量为5.02万吨，累计同比下降3 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][20] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's production capacity is expected to continue to rise in 2024, with a significant improvement in profitability in Q1 2025 [3][4] - The company achieved a revenue of 42 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.91% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.44 billion yuan, an increase of 2.55% year-on-year [4] - The report anticipates a revenue of 46.5 billion yuan for 2025, with projected production of 90,000 tons of tin, 125,000 tons of copper, and 131,600 tons of zinc [6][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 42 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.44 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.94 billion yuan, reflecting a 40.5% increase year-on-year [4] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.73 billion yuan, a 15.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 500 million yuan, a 53.1% increase year-on-year [4][6] Production and Pricing - In 2024, the company produced 84,800 tons of tin, a 6% increase year-on-year, with an average tin price of 248,000 yuan per ton, up 16.9% year-on-year [5] - For Q1 2025, the tin production was 24,200 tons, an 8% increase year-on-year, with an average tin price of 260,800 yuan per ton, a 20% increase year-on-year [6] Profitability Forecast - The report projects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 2.23 billion yuan, 2.42 billion yuan, and 2.56 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.35, 1.47, and 1.55 yuan [7]

【华宝期货】有色金属周报 03 品种数据（铝、锌、锡） 周度行情回顾 | 品种 | | | 期货主力合约收盘价格 | | | | 现货价格 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025.6.20 2025.6.13 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | | 2025.6.20 2025.6.13 | 周变动 | 周涨跌幅 | | 铜 | CU2507 | 77990 | 78010 | -20 | -0. 03% | 中国:平均价:铜:上海物贸 | 78370 | 78715 | -345 | -0. 44% | | 铝 | AL2508 | 20465 | 20440 | 25 | 0. 12% | 中国:平均价:铝(A00):有色市场 | 20700 | 20760 | -60 | -0. 29% | | 锌 | ZN2507 | 21845 | 21815 | 30 | 0. 14% | 中国:价格:锌锭(0#,Zn99. 995,国产,进口) | 21772 | 21838 ...

证券代码：000960 证券简称：锡业股份 债券代码：148721 债券简称：24 锡 KY01 债券代码：148747 债券简称：24 锡 KY02 云南锡业股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 今年以来，受到东南亚锡矿主产国复产进程较为缓慢，非 洲锡矿主产国短暂停产等因素影响，全球锡矿供给偏紧趋势仍 在持续，锡冶炼加工费持续低迷。根据有色金属工业协会锡业 分会相关数据，原料偏紧问题正逐步传导至冶炼环节和下游， 5 月国内精锡产量环比出现下滑，二季度以来锡锭库存持续下 降。 编号：2025-003 铜 2.44 万吨、产品锌 3.33 万吨，生产稀贵金属铟锭 30 吨。公 司实现营业收入 97.29 亿元，同比上升 15.82%；实现归属于上 市公司股东的净利润 4.99 亿元，同比上升 53.08%。 2.公司有钨矿资源吗？今年有生产钨的计划吗？ 截至 2024 年底，公司三氧化钨保有资源储量为 7.78 万吨。 目前公司已获得云南省自然资源厅 2025 年度第一批钨矿（三 氧化钨 65%）开采总量配额指标 688 吨，公司将根据云南省自 然资源厅 2025 年钨矿开采总量控制指标及相关规定组织生产 和销售。 ...

2025 年 6 月 13 日 锡：紧现实弱预期 | 王蓉 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002529 | wangrong013179@gtjas.com | | --- | --- | --- | | 刘雨萱 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020476 | liuyuxuan023982@gtjas.com | 【基本面跟踪】 锡基本面数据 | | 锡基本面数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅% | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 265,150 | -0.14% | 264,180 | -0.18% | | 货 | | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 32,560 | -0.06% | - | - | | 期 及 现 | | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 货 电 | | 沪锡主力合约 | 51,029 | -17,972 | 25,639 | -523 | | 子 盘 | | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 180 | - 9 | 13,988 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究（有⾊每⽇报告） 2025-06-11 弱美元、LME低库存和需求走弱交织，有色 延续震荡 有⾊观点：弱美元、LME低库存和需求⾛弱交织，有⾊延续震荡 交易逻辑：5月中国财新制造业PMI和美国Markit制造业PMI走势偏 弱，同时，美元指数延续弱势；5月28日，美国联邦法院阻止了特朗 普4月2日宣布的关税政策，白宫上诉，整体来看，宏观面略偏正面， 但美国关税预期反复。供需面来看，基本金属供需有所趋松，锌锭表 现的较为明显，本周国内库存整体维持小幅累积。中短期来看，弱美 元、LME低库存和需求走弱交织，有色延续震荡，主要关注结构性机 会，谨慎关注关注铜铝锡短多机会，中长期来看，基本金属需求前景 仍存在不确定性，可关注部分供需偏过剩或者预期过剩品种的逢高沽 空机会。 杨飞 铜观点：美元指数偏弱，铜价⾼位运⾏。 氧化铝观点：现货成交活跃度下降，氧化铝盘⾯震荡。 铝观点：特朗普加码钢铝关税落地，铝价⾼位震荡。 铝合⾦观点：供需⽆突出⽭盾，铝合⾦窄幅波动。 锌观点：现货升⽔维持⾼位，短期锌价下⽅空间有限。 铅观点：成本⽀撑暂稳，铅价震荡运⾏。 镍观点：供需整 ...

| 锡基本面数据 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨幅% | 昨日夜盘收盘价 | 夜盘涨幅 | | | 沪锡主力合约 | 250,300 | -2.94% | 250,300 | -2.87% | | 期 货 | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 30,545 | 1.04% | - | - | | 及 现 | | 昨日成交 | 较前日变动 | 昨日持仓 | 较前日变动 | | 货 电 | 沪锡主力合约 | 149,442 | 47,675 | 33,504 | 4,894 | | 子 盘 | 伦锡3M电子盘 | 180 | - 9 | 13,988 | 5 3 | | | | 昨日期货库存 | 较前日变动 | 注销仓单比 | 较前日变动 | | | 沪 锡 | #N/A | #N/A | - | - | | | 伦 锡 | 2,605 | -75 | 6.57% | -0.38% | | | | | 昨 日 | 前 日 | 较前日变动 | | | | SMM 1#锡锭价格 | 264,400 | 265,400 | -1,0 ...

Price Overview - On May 30, the spot price of 1 tin ingot in Shanghai was quoted at 251,500.00 CNY/ton, which is a premium of 1,200.00 CNY/ton over the futures main price of 250,300.00 CNY/ton [1] - The national tin price list on May 30 shows various market prices for 1 tin ingot, with quotes ranging from 251,500 CNY/ton in Guangdong to 252,750 CNY/ton in Shanghai [2] Futures Market - On May 30, the closing price of the Shanghai tin futures main contract was 250,300.00 CNY/ton, reflecting a decline of 2.87%. The highest price reached was 257,600.00 CNY/ton, while the lowest was 250,000.00 CNY/ton, with a trading volume of 149,442 contracts [2] Production and Inventory - In May 2025, China's refined tin production decreased by 2.37% month-on-month and by 11.24% year-on-year [3] - As of May 30, the inventory of Shanghai tin futures recorded 8,107.00 tons, a decrease of 338.00 tons from the previous trading day [4] Market Analysis - According to New Lake Futures research, current consumption shows some elasticity, supported by solid basic consumption in key end markets and strong performance in the new energy vehicle sector. However, sensitivity to price changes is high, and the white goods and consumer electronics markets are entering a low season, leading to insufficient overall consumption momentum [5] - There is an expectation of increased overseas mineral supply, but it is currently difficult to transmit this to domestic smelters, which are maintaining low operating rates. Domestic inventory levels are neutral, while overseas inventories are low. The short-term supply-demand contradiction is not prominent, suggesting that tin prices may experience a period of adjustment [5]