l投资要点 贵金属：坚定持有，等待下一轮主升浪。贵金属本周继续震荡，波动有所下降但仍在下降区间。之前我 们提示，沪金沪银波动率过高，高波下或迎来调整，耐心等待买入时机，建议在3950美元/盎司左右继 续做多黄金。总体来看，由于前期涨速太快，贵金属可能迎来2-3个月的震荡区间。长期来看，去美元 化的进程不会转向，低位筹码建议无惧波动，坚定持有。 铜：供给扰动有望提升价格中枢，调整即为买点。本周铜价呈现震荡局面，LME铜下跌。10月以来， 由于铜价前上涨速度过快，以及中美顺利会谈后出现一定的多头兑现，叠加淡季出现一定程度的累库导 致价格开始高位震荡。但综合来看，由于自由港和泰克资源26年产量预期的下调，26年预计铜会出现供 需紧张的局面，同时美政府开门对其26年的财政支出存在进一步强化的预期，我们认为调整即为买点， 建议逢低做多。 中邮证券近日发布有色金属行业报告：本周碳酸锂价格大幅波动，主要由于期货市场交易过热，价格涨 速过快，叠加广期所调整交易手续费及限额，市场快速降温。现货市场，下游企业表现得十分谨慎，多 持观望态度，仅以刚性需求进行小规模采购。 以下为研究报告摘要： 铝：旺季尾声，供给端刚性支撑价格中枢。 ...

嘉实中证稀有金属主题ETF发起联接A（014110）成立日期2021年12月1日，最新规模1.33亿。今年以来 收益64.26%，同类排名107/4206；近一年收益47.7%，同类排名310/3983；成立以来亏损15.75%。 11月25日，锡业股份涨5.07%，截至发稿，报23.63元/股，成交6.33亿元，换手率1.67%，总市值388.90 亿元。 资料显示，云南锡业股份有限公司位于云南省昆明市官渡区民航路471号，成立日期1998年11月22日， 上市日期2000年2月21日，公司主营业务涉及锡、锌、铜、铟等金属矿的勘探、开采、选矿和冶炼及锡 的深加工。主营业务收入构成为：锡锭43.61%，供应链业务20.31%，铜产品18.04%，其中:供应链业务- 铜产品12.77%，其他产品7.90%，锌产品7.08%，其中:供应链业务-锡产品5.57%，锡材2.74%，其中:供 应链业务-其他产品1.96%，其他(补充)0.32%。 从基金十大重仓股角度 数据显示，嘉实基金旗下1只基金重仓锡业股份。嘉实中证稀有金属主题ETF发起联接A（014110）三季 度持有股数3300股，与上期相比持股数量不变，占基 ...

2024年，国泰君安风险管理有限公司（下称国泰君安风险管理）凭借"无形搬运"策略——仓单串换方 案，成功为深圳市唯特偶新材料股份有限公司（下称唯特偶新材料）破解跨区供应链难题，不仅保障了 企业的生产连续性，也实现了双方的互利共赢。 国泰君安风险管理期现事业部业务经理王雅清向期货日报记者介绍，唯特偶新材料是深圳市电子化学品 行业的领军企业，专注于微电子焊接材料的研发、生产与销售。"去年6月份，我们了解到企业需要处置 其位于华东交割库的22吨仓单这一相关业务需求，便迅速组建了专业的业务小组，最终根据唯特偶新材 料具备仓单操作能力，同时又亟须原料用于生产的特点，为企业设计了通过仓单置换满足其需求的方 案。"王雅清说。 据悉，仓单置换是期货市场中一种通过交换仓单实现资源优化配置的机制，旨在提升供应链效率、降低 企业成本及管理风险。在本次服务中，持有某一交割地仓单的企业通过置换协议换取另一交割地不同品 牌、同规格的仓单，实现跨区域仓单置换。 通过此次仓单置换，唯特偶新材料低成本、高效率地实现了库存优化，保障了生产的连续性。同时，国 泰君安风险管理也将库存由升水300元/吨的"云亨"牌锡锭以一定价差置换成了升水800元/ ...

11月21日，锡业股份跌5.07%，截至发稿，报22.85元/股，成交2.55亿元，换手率0.67%，总市值376.07 亿元。 资料显示，云南锡业股份有限公司位于云南省昆明市官渡区民航路471号，成立日期1998年11月22日， 上市日期2000年2月21日，公司主营业务涉及锡、锌、铜、铟等金属矿的勘探、开采、选矿和冶炼及锡 的深加工。主营业务收入构成为：锡锭43.61%，供应链业务20.31%，铜产品18.04%，其中:供应链业务- 铜产品12.77%，其他产品7.90%，锌产品7.08%，其中:供应链业务-锡产品5.57%，锡材2.74%，其中:供 应链业务-其他产品1.96%，其他(补充)0.32%。 风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 责任编辑：小浪快报 富国周期优势混合A（005760）成立日期2018年7月10日，最新规模9.35亿。今年以来收益25.05%，同 类排名3167/8136；近一年收益23.26%，同类排名3072/8056；成立以 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yunnan Tin Company Limited has experienced a significant stock price increase of 74.60% year-to-date, despite a recent decline of 6.91% over the past five trading days [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yunnan Tin achieved a revenue of 34.417 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 17.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.745 billion yuan, which is a 35.99% increase compared to the previous year [2] Stock Market Activity - As of November 20, the stock price of Yunnan Tin was 23.99 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 601 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.50%, leading to a total market capitalization of 39.483 billion yuan [1] - The company has been listed on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent occurrence on October 10 [1] Shareholder Information - As of November 10, the number of shareholders for Yunnan Tin was 82,600, an increase of 0.69% from the previous period, with an average of 19,916 circulating shares per shareholder, a decrease of 0.68% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited being the third-largest shareholder, holding 34.7514 million shares, an increase of 6.8983 million shares from the previous period [3] Dividend Distribution - Yunnan Tin has distributed a total of 2.15 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.103 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Business Overview - Yunnan Tin's main business includes the exploration, mining, and smelting of metals such as tin, zinc, copper, and indium, with tin ingots accounting for 43.61% of its main business revenue [1]

Core Viewpoint - 华锡有色 is actively enhancing its production capacity and optimizing its operations to meet market demands while benefiting from favorable industry policies and resource advantages [1][2][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.138 billion yuan, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 494 million yuan, and a weighted average return on equity of 11.64% [1] - Revenue increased by 21.16% year-on-year, with significant growth in deep processing product output, which rose by 81.21% [3] Group 2: Resource and Production Capacity - The company has substantial mineral reserves, with a total ore resource of 89.591 million tons and a metal resource amount of 4.4925 million tons, positioning it favorably in the market [2] - Ongoing projects, such as the deep mining project at Gaofeng and the expansion at Tongkeng mine, are expected to enhance overall production capacity [2][3] Group 3: Market Strategy and Industry Position - The company is focusing on optimizing production processes, expanding sales channels, and enhancing cost control to achieve its annual targets [2] - The demand for tin is expected to grow due to its strategic importance in emerging industries, supported by a limited supply of tin resources [3] Group 4: Policy and Regional Development - Recent regional policies in Guangxi provide a supportive environment for the development of the critical metals industry, which the company plans to leverage [4] - The company aims to integrate its resources and expertise into the development of the Nandan pilot zone, aligning with policy directions for industrial upgrading [4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - For precious metals, although central bank gold purchases and growing investment demand will push up the price center in the long - term, the unclear prospect of interest rate cuts in December and short - term technical weakness suggest a possible short - term adjustment. Attention should be paid to the retracement of the 200 - day moving average [3]. - For copper, as the delivery date approaches, the registered warrant volume has rapidly increased. The spot price of electrolytic copper has declined, the premium has strengthened, and the purchasing sentiment has increased but not significantly. The futures price has shown narrow - range fluctuations and lacks driving forces [15]. - For aluminum, the expected tightening of overseas electrolytic aluminum supply has given rise to a bullish sentiment among funds, leading to an influx of capital into Shanghai aluminum futures and an increase in prices. However, downstream demand may not support such high prices, so Shanghai aluminum is expected to fluctuate at a high level. Alumina has seen price - increasing orders due to environmental production restrictions and short - covering, but it still follows an oversupply logic. Cast aluminum alloy has strong follow - up characteristics with Shanghai aluminum and has strong downside support [33][34]. - For zinc, the expectation of interest rate cuts has cooled down, and the smelting sector's willingness to reduce or halt production in November has increased due to intense competition for ores and a significant decline in TC. The impact needs to be observed through inventory changes in November. There is a possibility of inventory reduction if demand remains stable. Currently, there are significant differences between bulls and bears, and the bottom space can be observed at the end of the month [57]. - For nickel, the expectation of interest rate cuts in December is uncertain, and the progress of Sino - US tariffs has affected risk preferences. Nickel ore prices may remain strong in the short term due to the approaching rainy season in the Philippines and the impact of typhoons on production and shipping. The prices of nickel - iron and stainless steel have declined due to weak downstream demand, and both are experiencing inventory accumulation [73]. - For tin, although there has been some resumption of production in Yunnan, the supply is still weaker than demand due to the under - expected resumption of production in Wa State and a sharp reduction in concentrate imports. Shanghai tin is expected to maintain a high - level oscillation, with support predicted around 276,000 yuan [88]. - For lithium carbonate, the price has far exceeded expectations, and downstream buyers have no intention to replenish inventory. There is an expectation of a decline in production in December. Technically, the price has broken through the 90,000 - yuan mark and reached 95,000 yuan, posing a high risk for chasing the price. There is an over - rising sentiment, and the risk of chasing the price should be vigilant [104]. - For the silicon industry chain, the supply - demand pattern of industrial silicon is generally weak, and it is expected to have wide - range fluctuations. The polysilicon industry chain is experiencing production cuts and inventory accumulation, with a weak fundamental outlook and wide - range weak fluctuations [115]. 3. Summaries by Related Catalogs Precious Metals - **Price Outlook**: Short - term adjustment possible, long - term upward trend supported by central bank purchases and investment demand [3]. - **Market Data**: Included price trends of SHFE and COMEX gold and silver, their ratios, and relationships with the US dollar index, US Treasury real interest rates, and long - term fund holdings [4][8][11]. Copper - **Spot Market**: Spot prices of copper have declined, with different degrees of decline in various regions. The premium has also decreased [18]. - **Futures Market**: Futures prices have declined, and the trading volume and open interest have shown certain trends. The registered warrant volume has increased significantly [16][19][29]. - **Import and Processing**: Copper import losses have increased, and the TC of copper concentrates has remained unchanged [24]. - **Scrap - to - Refined Spread**: The scrap - to - refined spread has decreased, indicating a reduced price advantage of scrap copper [28]. Aluminum - **Futures Prices**: The prices of Shanghai aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy futures have declined to varying degrees [35]. - **Price Spreads**: There are differences in price spreads between different contracts of aluminum and alumina, as well as between aluminum and alumina [38][40]. - **Spot Market**: Spot prices of aluminum in different regions have declined, and the basis has also changed [44]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai aluminum and LME aluminum has changed, and the alumina warehouse receipt inventory has remained stable [51]. Zinc - **Futures Prices**: The prices of Shanghai zinc futures have generally declined, except for the second - consecutive contract which has increased slightly [58]. - **Spot Market**: Spot prices of zinc have declined, and the premium has changed significantly [66]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai zinc and LME zinc has increased [70]. Nickel - **Futures Market**: The prices of Shanghai nickel and LME nickel have declined, and the trading volume has increased while the open interest has decreased. The warehouse receipt volume has increased [74]. - **Downstream Market**: The prices of nickel - iron and stainless steel have declined, and the downstream demand is weak. Both are experiencing inventory accumulation [73]. Tin - **Futures Market**: The prices of Shanghai tin and LME tin have changed slightly, with Shanghai tin showing a slight decline [89]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices of tin and tin concentrates have declined slightly, and the prices of solder products have remained stable [93]. - **Inventory**: The inventory of Shanghai tin has increased, while the LME tin inventory has decreased [99]. Lithium Carbonate - **Futures Prices**: The prices of lithium carbonate futures have generally increased compared to the previous week, but there has been a slight decline on the day [105]. - **Spot Market**: The prices of various lithium - related products have increased, and the price differences between different grades have also changed [109]. - **Inventory**: The warehouse receipt inventory of the Guangzhou Futures Exchange and the social inventory of lithium carbonate have decreased [113]. Silicon Industry Chain - **Industrial Silicon**: The spot prices of industrial silicon in different regions have changed slightly, and the basis has increased. The futures prices have declined [115]. - **Polysilicon and Downstream Products**: The prices of polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery chips, and components have shown certain trends, and the inventory of polysilicon has increased [123][133].

Group 1 - The stock price of Yunnan Tin Company decreased by 2.08% on November 18, reaching 23.56 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.05 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 38.775 billion CNY [1] - Year-to-date, the stock price has increased by 71.47%, with a 1.29% rise in the last five trading days, 4.11% in the last 20 days, and 28.04% in the last 60 days [1] - The company has appeared on the trading leaderboard once this year, with the most recent occurrence on October 10 [1] Group 2 - Yunnan Tin Company, established on November 22, 1998, and listed on February 21, 2000, is primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, and smelting of metals such as tin, zinc, copper, and indium [2] - The revenue composition includes tin ingots (43.61%), supply chain business (20.31%), and copper products (18.04%), among others [2] - As of November 10, the number of shareholders increased to 82,600, with an average of 19,916 circulating shares per person [2] Group 3 - The company has distributed a total of 2.15 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.103 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and several new institutional investors [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the copper, aluminum, and precious metals sectors, indicating a high level of market activity and potential for growth [2][3][4][5]. Core Insights - Copper prices have shown a weekly increase of 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton on the LME, with domestic prices rising by 1.12% to 86,900 yuan per ton, reflecting a recovery in demand as the market approaches the traditional peak season [2][14]. - Aluminum prices also increased, with LME aluminum up 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, supported by low inventory levels and stable demand from downstream processing industries [3][15]. - Gold prices surged by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, driven by geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties in the U.S., indicating strong investor interest in safe-haven assets [4][16]. - The rare earth sector is experiencing upward momentum due to increased demand and the suspension of export control measures, leading to a bullish outlook for companies involved in rare earth production [5][32]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper price increased by 1.53% to $10,859.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 86,900 yuan per ton [2][14]. - The processing fee index for imported copper concentrate dropped to -$42.21 per ton, indicating supply chain pressures [2][14]. - Domestic copper inventory rose by 0.52 million tons to 20.11 million tons, reflecting a cautious market sentiment [2][14]. Aluminum - LME aluminum price rose by 0.52% to $2,877.00 per ton, with domestic prices at 21,800 yuan per ton [3][15]. - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 0.6 million tons, indicating a tightening supply [3][15]. - The operating rate of downstream aluminum processing enterprises increased slightly to 62%, suggesting stable demand [3][15]. Precious Metals - COMEX gold price increased by 4.16% to $4,174.5 per ounce, with SPDR gold holdings rising by 6.87 tons to 1,048.93 tons [4][16]. - The market is influenced by U.S. political instability and geopolitical tensions, leading to a strong demand for gold [4][16]. Rare Earths - The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide decreased by 1.40%, but overall demand is expected to rise due to the suspension of export controls [5][32]. - The rare earth sector is projected to benefit from increased strategic importance and price appreciation [5][32]. Other Metals - Antimony prices increased by 15.5%, driven by a suspension of export controls and a tightening supply situation [5][34]. - Tin prices rose by 3.11%, supported by reduced illegal mining activities in Indonesia [5][35]. - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 3.14% to 83,200 yuan per ton, reflecting strong demand in the energy storage sector [5][61].

Group 1: Company Overview - Yunnan Tin Company has a comprehensive industrial structure integrating exploration, selection, smelting, deep processing, and new material research of non-ferrous metals, primarily producing tin ingots, cathode copper, zinc ingots, and indium ingots [2][3] - As of the end of 2024, the company holds tin reserves of 1.76 million tons and indium reserves of 4,821 tons, ranking first globally in both [2][3] - The domestic and global market shares for tin products reached 47.98% and 25.03%, respectively, in 2024 [2] Group 2: Production and Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the total production of non-ferrous metals was 271,000 tons, including 67,700 tons of tin, 96,800 tons of copper, and 105,300 tons of zinc [3] - The company achieved a revenue of 34.417 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.81%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.745 billion yuan, up 35.99% year-on-year [3] Group 3: Resource Management and Strategic Development - The company emphasizes resource expansion as a long-term development strategy, focusing on enhancing existing resources and securing new reserves, with an investment in geological research and exploration activities [4] - In 2024, the company discovered additional reserves of 17,600 tons of tin and 34,800 tons of copper [4] Group 4: Industry Trends and Challenges - The global supply of tin is tightening due to declining resource quality in traditional production areas and increasing mining costs, with significant policy changes in Southeast Asia affecting supply [5] - Tin is essential in the renewable energy and electronics sectors, with long-term demand expected to remain strong due to advancements in AI and new production technologies [5][6] Group 5: Supply Chain and Resource Utilization - To address the tightening supply of tin, the company is implementing a dual-channel procurement strategy to stabilize and expand raw material sourcing [6] - The company has initiated research on tailings resource recovery, with operational projects aimed at enhancing economic indicators for tailings re-selection [6]