Workflow
长期内部收益率
icon
Search documents
中泰资管天团 | 姜诚:想做长期投资,需要坚持和放弃什么?
中泰证券资管· 2025-03-13 08:24
Core Viewpoint - The investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of a safety margin, shaped by both external experiences and personal characteristics, particularly a low risk tolerance [1][4]. Group 1: Safety Margin Concept - Safety margin is defined as the ability to accept a less optimistic scenario for a company's future performance, ensuring that even in adverse conditions, the investment remains protected [3]. - The approach to investment involves either confronting the complexities of the business world directly or considering the worst-case scenarios to establish a safety margin [3]. Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment strategy does not rely on being smarter than the market but focuses on gathering sufficient and reliable information for decision-making [6][7]. - The pursuit of "ten-bagger" stocks is discouraged, as identifying such stocks in advance is rare; instead, the focus should be on achieving a high long-term internal rate of return [8][9]. Group 3: Market Behavior and Emotional Management - Market volatility is acknowledged as inevitable, and the importance of analyzing substantial policy changes and their long-term impacts on stock value is highlighted [15]. - Emotional control is crucial, and practical strategies to mitigate emotional disturbances during market fluctuations are recommended, such as reducing exposure to market information [16]. Group 4: Long-term Investment Conditions - Successful long-term investing relies more on the characteristics of the investor's capital, such as patience and the ability to endure market fluctuations, rather than solely on market conditions [12][13]. - The complexity of the investment landscape necessitates a deep understanding of the market and the investor's psychological readiness for long-term commitments [12][13]. Group 5: Alpha vs. Beta - The distinction between alpha (excess returns from specific assets) and beta (market-wide trends) is emphasized, with a warning against mistaking beta for alpha [17][18]. - The focus should be on identifying alpha opportunities across various industries rather than concentrating on specific sectors during certain market cycles [17][18].