防晒剂原料生产一体化
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科思股份(300856):短期业绩仍承压 静待供需改善、量价回升
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 02:48
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 395 million yuan in Q3 2025, showing a year-on-year decline of 12.82% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.68%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 13 million yuan, down 86.36% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 3.20%, a decrease of 17.26 percentage points year-on-year. Despite the challenges, the company maintains a strong position in the sunscreen market and has the potential for profit recovery if market conditions improve [1][4]. Revenue Performance - The revenue decline has narrowed in Q3 2025, attributed to changes in global sunscreen supply and demand dynamics. The year-on-year revenue growth rates for Q1, Q2, and Q3 2025 were -44.29%, -53.16%, and -12.82%, respectively. The significant drop in Q2 was due to a high base from the previous year, while Q3 showed a clear marginal improvement in the decline [2][4]. Product Development and Capacity Expansion - The company is expanding its product categories beyond sunscreen, including amino acid surfactants and new chemical sunscreen agents. It is also progressing with the construction of new production lines, including a high-end personal care project in Anqing and a 10,000-ton sunscreen production facility in Malaysia, expected to launch products in the second half of 2025 [3][4]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin in Q3 2025 was 25.26%, down 12.11 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 2.67%, down 17.76 percentage points year-on-year. The decline in margins was influenced by a decrease in sunscreen market prices, prompting the company to lower some product prices. The company is focused on cost control and efficiency improvements, with sales and R&D expenses being effectively managed [4][5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to ongoing inventory digestion by downstream customers, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 87 million yuan and 164 million yuan, respectively, reflecting declines of 90.1% and 85.1%. However, there is potential for recovery in volume and price starting in 2026, with a target price of 15.60 yuan for 2027, based on a 30x PE ratio [5].