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非银行业周报20250713:中报业绩催化下,非银板块有望迎β和α共振-20250713
Minsheng Securities· 2025-07-13 12:17
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the non-banking sector, highlighting the potential for both beta and alpha resonance in the market due to upcoming mid-year performance catalysts [5]. Core Insights - The introduction of new regulations for insurance capital, promoting long-term investments, is expected to enhance the matching of assets and liabilities for insurance companies, thereby increasing their equity investment ratios and stabilizing profit margins [1]. - The performance of listed securities firms is anticipated to show robust growth in the first half of 2025, with several firms projecting significant year-on-year profit increases, driven by active market conditions and improved business operations [2]. - The China Securities Association's new self-regulatory management guidelines aim to enhance the quality of the securities industry, focusing on compliance and risk management, which is expected to support sustainable growth in the sector [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - Major indices experienced gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.09% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by 1.78% during the week of July 7-11, 2025 [8]. Securities Sector - The total trading volume in the A-share market reached 8.80 trillion yuan, with a daily average trading amount of 1.47 trillion yuan, reflecting a 2.25% increase week-on-week and a 118.28% increase year-on-year [17]. - The IPO underwriting scale for the year reached 391.22 billion yuan, while refinancing underwriting amounted to 795.95 billion yuan as of July 11, 2025 [17]. Insurance Sector - The new regulations for insurance capital are expected to improve the long-term investment capabilities of insurance companies, enhancing their ability to provide stable returns and support economic growth [1]. Liquidity Tracking - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 425.7 billion yuan, resulting in a net withdrawal of 226.5 billion yuan from the market, indicating tightening liquidity conditions [28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading insurance companies such as China Pacific Insurance, Sunshine Insurance, and China Life, as well as top securities firms like CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities, due to their strong market positions and growth potential [39][40].