欧洲内部也不是铁板一块，分歧其实相当明显。波兰和波罗的海国家坚决反对乌克兰割让领土，他们觉得这种协议会危及自身安全，连暂时冻结冲突的过渡 安排都不能接受。但更多国家已经偏向务实，法国总统马克龙在欧盟内部会议上就提醒各国，美国很可能在不提供安全保障的情况下，在领土问题上背弃基 辅。德国总理默茨、北约秘书长吕特也都认同这个观点，觉得继续硬撑下去，对泽连斯基本人都是巨大威胁。 欧洲态度转变的核心原因，还是"扛不住了"。一方面，援乌的经济负担实在太重，长期的武器供应和经济援助让不少欧洲国家不堪重负，再加上内部能源和 经济问题缠身，已经没有多余的精力和财力支撑这场持久战。另一方面，欧洲越来越担心被美国"卖了"，特朗普政府一直想从俄乌冲突中抽身，还抛出了自 己的"和平计划"，这种情况下欧洲不想被美国的政策绑架，只能自己寻找止损的办法。 俄乌冲突打了这么久，原本坚定站在乌克兰这边的欧洲，最近风向悄悄变了。越来越多的欧洲国家私下松口，觉得乌克兰得放弃部分领土换停火，就连公开 表态都开始隐隐透着"劝和"的意味。这让一直硬扛着"绝不割土"的泽连斯基陷入两难，曾经的盟友态度松动，背后的支持逐渐缩水，他似乎只剩下妥协让步 这一条路可 ...

Core Points - The Russian Ministry of Defense announced control over Red Army City in Donetsk and Volchansk in Kharkiv, indicating a significant military advancement [1] - Experts suggest that the attack on Red Army City serves dual purposes: to open access to western Donetsk and to exert pressure on Ukraine and its Western allies for negotiations [3] Summary by Categories Military Strategy - The battle for Red Army City is viewed as a combination of diplomatic, political, and military warfare, aimed at maximizing pressure on Ukraine [3] - The Russian military's large-scale offensive is intended to demonstrate its capability and resolve to both Ukraine and Western nations [3] Diplomatic Implications - The offensive aims to influence Western perceptions, particularly in light of Ukrainian President Zelensky's comments about potential territorial losses if negotiations do not occur [3] - Russia seeks to achieve its diplomatic goals by encouraging Europe and the U.S. to abandon support for Ukraine and consider Russia's peace proposals [3]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing debate regarding whether to prioritize ceasefire or negotiations in resolving the Ukraine crisis, highlighting the differing perspectives of key leaders involved [1][2][4]. Group 1: Meeting Arrangements - President Trump has initiated arrangements for a potential face-to-face meeting between President Putin and President Zelensky, with a three-party meeting involving Trump also planned [2][6]. - The atmosphere of the recent Washington meeting was described as more amicable compared to six months ago, with Trump expressing optimism about the discussions [4]. Group 2: Perspectives on Ceasefire vs. Negotiation - European leaders, including German Chancellor Merz, prefer a ceasefire before negotiations, emphasizing the complexity of the current situation [4]. - Trump questioned the necessity of a ceasefire, suggesting that negotiations could proceed without it, reflecting a divergence in approach between the U.S. and European leaders [4][5]. Group 3: Potential Outcomes and Challenges - The feasibility of achieving a ceasefire and subsequent negotiations is uncertain, with significant differences in the positions of Russia and Ukraine complicating the situation [5]. - Trump's approach of "negotiation first, ceasefire later" is seen as a compromise to Russia's dominant position in the conflict, raising concerns among European nations about the implications for Ukraine's territorial integrity [5][8]. Group 4: Future Meetings and Coordination - There is speculation about a potential meeting between Putin and Zelensky within two weeks, with discussions on security guarantees for Ukraine expected to be finalized soon [6][8]. - U.S. officials, including Vice President Pence and Secretary of State Rubio, are actively communicating with both Russian and Ukrainian sides to coordinate the ongoing process [7].

Group 1 - The upcoming meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin on August 15 in Alaska is highly anticipated, with the Ukraine situation being a focal point [1][2] - Trump described the meeting as a "test meeting," suggesting that the outcomes could vary, but he believes in the potential for "constructive dialogue" [2] - The US administration is considering a potential meeting involving Ukrainian President Zelensky and Putin, but Trump has expressed disagreement with Zelensky's approach regarding territorial issues [2] Group 2 - Russia aims to focus on a long-term peaceful resolution to the Ukraine crisis during the meeting, with Putin having discussions with leaders from nine countries regarding the situation [3] - The Russian government has indicated that the upcoming meeting could provide new momentum for normalizing US-Russia relations, although creating the necessary conditions for a Ukraine-Russia presidential meeting remains challenging [3] Group 3 - Ukrainian President Zelensky has been actively communicating with foreign leaders, emphasizing that Ukraine does not see any shift in Russia's stance and opposes the idea of "territorial exchange for peace" [4] - Reports suggest that Ukraine might agree to a ceasefire while allowing Russia to maintain control over certain regions, but Zelensky firmly rejects any further territorial concessions [4] Group 4 - European leaders are also engaging diplomatically, with discussions aimed at ensuring that any resolution to the Ukraine crisis protects European and Ukrainian security interests [5][6] - Germany plans to lead a European initiative to discuss the Ukraine situation, inviting key leaders for a video conference to coordinate their positions [6]