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东北固收转债分析:双乐转债定价:首日转股溢价率42%~47%
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2026-01-05 05:43
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The target price of Shuangle Convertible Bond on its first trading day is expected to be between 133 and 138 yuan, and investors are advised to actively subscribe. The conversion premium rate on the first listing day is estimated to be in the range of 42% - 47% [3][18]. - The estimated first - day new - bond subscription winning rate is around 0.0038% - 0.0054% [4][19]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Shuangle Convertible Bond New - Bond Analysis and Investment Suggestions 3.1.1 Convertible Bond Basic Terms Analysis - The issuance methods of Shuangle Convertible Bond are priority placement and online issuance. The bond and issuer ratings are both AA-. The issuance scale is 800 million yuan, the initial conversion price is 36.7 yuan. As of December 31, 2025, the convertible bond parity is 93.73 yuan, the pure bond value is 91.12 yuan. The game terms (downward revision, redemption, and put - back clauses) are normal. Overall, the bond issuance scale is average, the liquidity is average, the rating is acceptable, and the bond floor protection is good. It is not difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, and there is no objection to primary participation [2][14]. 3.1.2 New - Bond Initial Listing Price Analysis - The company's main business is the R & D, production, and sales of phthalocyanine series and chromium - based pigments. The funds raised will be used for high - performance blue - green pigment projects, high - performance yellow - red pigment projects, high - performance functional pigment product R & D centers, and working capital replenishment, aiming to expand the production capacity of advantageous products and improve profitability [3][17]. - Based on the current market environment and parity level, referring to similar convertible bonds, the conversion premium rate of Shuangle Convertible Bond on the first listing day is expected to be in the range of 42% - 47%, corresponding to a first - day listing target price around 133 - 138 yuan [3][18]. 3.1.3 Convertible Bond New - Bond Subscription Winning Rate Analysis - As of the end of September 2025, the top two shareholders held a combined 39.42% of the shares, and the top ten shareholders held a combined 57.2%. Assuming the old - shareholder placement ratio is 39% - 57%, the scale available for the market is 342 million - 485 million yuan. Assuming the online effective subscription volume is 8.93 million households, the winning rate is estimated to be around 0.0038% - 0.0054% [4][19]. 3.2 Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.2.1 Company's Main Business and the Upstream and Downstream of the Industry - The company is mainly engaged in the R & D, production, and sales of phthalocyanine series and chromium - based pigments. It is a leading enterprise in the domestic phthalocyanine pigment segment, with the first domestic market share and high market reputation. The company focuses on technological innovation and process optimization, and its products are becoming more diversified and specialized [20]. - The upstream of the pigment industry mainly includes the petrochemical and non - ferrous metal industries. The prices of raw materials such as phthalic anhydride and electrolytic copper fluctuate. Currently, the low price of phthalic anhydride helps reduce costs, while the high price of electrolytic copper increases costs. The downstream consumption of pigments is mainly in the ink, coating, and plastic fields, and new application demands in emerging industries are growing, which promotes the development of the pigment industry and raises higher requirements for product quality and performance [21][22]. 3.2.2 Company's Operating Conditions - The company's annual revenue has shown slight fluctuations in recent years. From 2022 to the first three quarters of 2025, the revenues were 1.271 billion yuan, 1.433 billion yuan, 1.575 billion yuan, and 1.11 billion yuan respectively, with year - on - year growth rates of - 4.89%, 12.8%, 9.9%, and - 4.94%. The revenue in 2023 and 2024 increased due to the large increase in sales volume, while in the first nine months of 2025, the revenue decreased due to the decline in raw material prices, intensified competition, and the decrease in both price and sales volume of phthalocyanine pigments. The sales volume and price of chromium - based pigments changed little during the reporting period [25]. - The company's comprehensive gross profit margin first increased and then decreased. From 2022 to the first three quarters of 2025, it was 10.2%, 13.09%, 16.95%, and 14.11% respectively. The net profit margin was 2.2%, 3.3%, 7.66%, and 4.46% respectively. The gross profit margin of phthalocyanine pigments was affected by cost changes, while that of chromium - based pigments decreased slightly due to high environmental protection costs [28]. - The company's recent period expenses and R & D expenses have shown little fluctuation. The accounts receivable turnover rate has slightly decreased, but the company has good control over accounts receivable. The net profit attributable to the parent company has fluctuated greatly, and the profitability has also been volatile [30][35][39]. 3.2.3 Company's Equity Structure and Major Controlling Subsidiaries - As of September 30, 2025, the equity structure was relatively concentrated. Yang Hanzhou was the largest shareholder, and the top two shareholders held a combined 39.42% of the shares, and the top ten shareholders held a combined 57.2%. As of December 23, 2025, Yang Hanzhou was the controlling shareholder and actual controller, directly and indirectly controlling the company [44]. 3.2.4 Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has brand, technology, environmental protection, industrial chain, standard - setting, and marketing and service network advantages. It has well - recognized brands, a complete core technology and process system, a good environmental management system, stable upstream production, participation in standard - setting, and a professional marketing and service network [46][48][51]. 3.2.5 Allocation of the Current Fund Raising - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 800 million yuan. After deducting issuance fees, 166 million yuan will be used for high - performance blue - green pigment projects, 416 million yuan for high - performance yellow - red pigment projects, 38 million yuan for high - performance functional pigment product R & D centers, and 180 million yuan for working capital replenishment [12][53]. - The high - performance blue - green pigment project aims to upgrade and expand the production capacity of phthalocyanine pigments, with expected annual production increases of 1,000 tons of phthalocyanine blue series and 2,000 tons of phthalocyanine green series. The high - performance yellow - red pigment project will add yellow - red organic pigment products, with an expected annual production increase of 4,000 tons. The R & D center project will improve the company's R & D and technology level [53][54][55].