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金雷股份(300443):风电行业Β向上 公司有望迎来业绩拐点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-03 00:43
Core Viewpoint - Jinlei Co., Ltd. reported a total operating revenue of 1.967 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.11%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 58.03% to 173 million yuan, indicating overall performance pressure. The company anticipates a significant rebound in Q1 2025 with a projected net profit of 50-56 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 70.96% to 91.47% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross and net profit margins were 21.33% and 8.78%, respectively, down by 11.71 percentage points and 12.38 percentage points year-on-year, with gross margin decline primarily due to intensified price competition in wind power castings and high depreciation and labor costs [1]. - The company expects a strong recovery in Q1 2025, driven by a significant increase in the wind power installation scale, with forecasts of 105-115 GW for 2025, representing a growth rate of 63.9% to 145.9% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The average bidding price for domestic wind turbines hit a low of 1400 yuan/kW in August 2024 but rebounded to stabilize between 1520 and 1540 yuan/kW from August to December, benefiting the company's casting product prices and overall profitability [2]. - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of wind turbine forgings, with a comprehensive product range and increasing market share, while also expanding its casting capabilities to meet the growing demand in offshore wind projects [2]. Group 3: Employee Incentives - The company announced a 2025 employee stock ownership plan involving a maximum of 2.8005 million shares, representing 0.88% of total equity, aimed at enhancing operational vitality and reflecting confidence in future growth [3]. Group 4: Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.37 billion, 2.82 billion, and 3.51 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.4%, 19.1%, and 24.5%, respectively. Net profits are expected to reach 340 million, 440 million, and 570 million yuan, with growth rates of 96.2%, 30.2%, and 29.5% [4].