Group 1: Production Capacity and Utilization - The company has a casting capacity of 150,000 tons, but can currently release 80,000 to 100,000 tons due to various factors affecting production [1] - The effective casting capacity is expected to double this year, achieving 80,000 to 100,000 tons compared to 30,000 to 40,000 tons in 2024 [2] - The production release rate for new projects is approximately 50%-60% in the first year and 70%-80% in the second year [2] Group 2: Market Trends and Demand - The global offshore wind power installed capacity is projected to grow from 8 GW in 2024 to 16 GW in 2025, representing a 100% increase [1] - The company is diversifying its product offerings in the wind power sector, including both forged and cast components [3] - The market for casting products is expected to stabilize due to a self-regulatory agreement among wind power companies to reduce price competition [3] Group 3: Financial Performance and Orders - The company’s overseas orders have remained stable compared to last year, with an increase in offshore casting orders [4] - The company has invested in a subsidiary for bearing production, with expected product output by the end of 2025 [4] - The company’s market share in the casting spindle sector is increasing due to the rapid development of offshore wind power [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a decline in net profit in 2024, primarily due to pressure on wind power spindle revenue, while precision shaft products showed rapid growth [1][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.967 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.11%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 173 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 58.03% [1]. - The revenue from wind power spindle products was 1.388 billion yuan, while other precision shaft products generated 376 million yuan [1]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 654 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.30% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8.99%, with a net profit of 24 million yuan, down 72.05% year-on-year and 68.40% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Group 2: Casting Business - The company has significantly enhanced its production capacity for large wind turbine core casting components, including spindles and hubs, with a sales revenue of 277 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 71% [2]. - The delivery volume of casting products, including spindles and bearing seats, increased by 120% year-on-year [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from strong demand for offshore wind power in 2025, leading to a potential reversal in profitability for large castings [2]. Group 3: Forging Business - The company has established itself as a global leader in wind power forged spindles, achieving strong profitability through high product quality and cost advantages [3]. - The company covers a range of forged spindle models from 1.5MW to 9.5MW and is poised for growth due to significant increases in land wind power bidding in 2024 [3]. - Revenue from other precision shaft products reached 376 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 29.46% [4]. Group 4: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is recognized as a global leader in wind power spindles, with accelerated expansion in casting capacity [5]. - The profit forecast has been adjusted downward, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 455 million, 548 million, and 676 million yuan, respectively [5]. - Corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 1.42, 1.71, and 2.11 yuan per share, with PE ratios of 15, 13, and 10 times [5].

Core Viewpoint - Jinlei Co., Ltd. reported a total operating revenue of 1.967 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.11%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 58.03% to 173 million yuan, indicating overall performance pressure. The company anticipates a significant rebound in Q1 2025 with a projected net profit of 50-56 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 70.96% to 91.47% [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross and net profit margins were 21.33% and 8.78%, respectively, down by 11.71 percentage points and 12.38 percentage points year-on-year, with gross margin decline primarily due to intensified price competition in wind power castings and high depreciation and labor costs [1]. - The company expects a strong recovery in Q1 2025, driven by a significant increase in the wind power installation scale, with forecasts of 105-115 GW for 2025, representing a growth rate of 63.9% to 145.9% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The average bidding price for domestic wind turbines hit a low of 1400 yuan/kW in August 2024 but rebounded to stabilize between 1520 and 1540 yuan/kW from August to December, benefiting the company's casting product prices and overall profitability [2]. - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of wind turbine forgings, with a comprehensive product range and increasing market share, while also expanding its casting capabilities to meet the growing demand in offshore wind projects [2]. Group 3: Employee Incentives - The company announced a 2025 employee stock ownership plan involving a maximum of 2.8005 million shares, representing 0.88% of total equity, aimed at enhancing operational vitality and reflecting confidence in future growth [3]. Group 4: Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.37 billion, 2.82 billion, and 3.51 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 20.4%, 19.1%, and 24.5%, respectively. Net profits are expected to reach 340 million, 440 million, and 570 million yuan, with growth rates of 96.2%, 30.2%, and 29.5% [4].