风电行业景气

Search documents
中材科技20250827
2025-08-27 15:19
中材科技 20250827 摘要 中材科技特种电子布业务预计 2026 年业绩显著增长,一代 DJD 电子布 需求预计达 1.5 亿米,二代达 2,600 万米,三代需求亦保持增长,尽管 成本较高,但性价比优势明显。 一代电子布市场竞争激烈,中材科技和林州光远积极扩产,预计 2025 年供需偏紧,2026 年可能宽松;二代布因生产难度大、良率低,供应 偏紧,价格或上涨;三代布市场竞争格局优越,新进入者壁垒高。 三代特种电子布生产面临石英纤维均匀性和毛羽控制两大技术壁垒,对 设备效率和工艺水平要求极高,目前仅少数厂商能生产高质量产品。 中材科技在特种电子布领域前景乐观,产品布局全面且品质领先,TDN 电子布产能投放迅速,有望带来显著业绩增长,公司具备灵活调配能力 应对市场变化。 中材科技一代电子布 2026 年销量预计达 3,600 万米,二代 700 万米, 三代 1,000 万米,LCT 利润预计 3 亿元,若满产满销及价格稳定,特种 电子布总利润可达 18 亿元。 Q&A 中材科技在特种电子布领域的竞争力如何? 中材科技在特种电子布领域具有全面布局,尤其在一代、二代和三代机电电子 布以及 low CTE ...
风电材料|风电行业景气高启,叶片环节增长可期
中信证券研究· 2025-03-05 00:16
Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry is expected to experience a significant upturn due to technological advancements improving economic viability and grid integration advantages, leading to increased investment [1][2][7]. Short-term and Long-term Outlook - In the short term, domestic wind power installation demand is anticipated to accelerate as the "14th Five-Year Plan" concludes, with an expected installation scale of over 115 GW by 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 30% [2]. - Long-term global demand for offshore wind power is expected to remain strong, with the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) projecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23% for new installations over the next three years [2]. Blade Industry Insights - Wind turbine blades are critical components for converting wind energy into mechanical energy, accounting for 15%-20% of the total cost of a wind turbine [3]. - The domestic wind power blade market is projected to reach 38 billion yuan by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20% and a CAGR of 13.5% from 2025 to 2027 [3]. Segment Analysis - **Molds**: The demand for wind blade molds is expected to reach 1.16 billion yuan by 2025, driven by production consumption and model updates [4][5]. - **Hub Castings**: The global wind turbine hub casting market is projected to reach 42.6 billion yuan by 2025, with a CAGR of 12.1% over the next three years [5]. - **Raw Materials**: Raw materials constitute over 70% of the cost structure of wind blades, with carbon fiber demand expected to reach 48,000 tons by 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 13.4% from 2025 to 2027 [5]. Investment Strategy - The wind power industry is poised for a high growth phase, with blade and related material companies expected to benefit from increased demand and technological advancements, leading to sustained growth in performance [7].