风险资产价格上升

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熟悉历史数据精准预测,看透本质
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-19 09:55
Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of U.S. interest rate cuts on global risk asset prices, suggesting that lower rates could lead to increased liquidity and stimulate China's stock market despite poor economic data [1][6] - It highlights a historical perspective where past interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have often preceded economic downturns, indicating a potential risk associated with the current rate cut [3][5] - The article differentiates between two types of interest rate cuts: "crisis relief cuts" and "predictive cuts," arguing that the current cut is more aligned with the latter, aimed at achieving a neutral interest rate level [5][6] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of recognizing the "transformation period dividend" in China, which includes various economic advantages that have emerged over decades of reform [6][7] - It advises investors to focus on specific sectors that benefit from this transformation, rather than traditional sectors, to avoid missing out on potential gains in the current bull market [7]