马科维兹现代投资理论

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海外富人的首选,多资产多策略私募到底是什么?
雪球· 2025-09-23 08:41
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the growing preference among high-net-worth investors for multi-asset multi-strategy hedge funds, contrasting this with the general trend of retail investors favoring index funds for passive returns [5][12]. Group 1: Multi-Asset Multi-Strategy Hedge Funds - High-net-worth investors are increasingly attracted to hedge funds that employ multi-asset multi-strategy approaches, as exemplified by notable funds like Bridgewater Associates, Millennium Management, and Citadel, which manage assets of approximately $150 billion, $64 billion, and $62 billion respectively [5][6]. - The shift towards multi-asset multi-strategy investing began in the 1950s and has evolved significantly, especially after the financial crises of 2000-2008, which highlighted the need for diversified strategies to mitigate risks [7][9][10]. - The performance of top hedge funds in 2024 showcases the effectiveness of macro and multi-strategy approaches, with funds like Discovery and PointState achieving returns of 52.0% and 47.9% respectively [11]. Group 2: Investment Goals and Risk Management - High-net-worth investors have shifted their investment goals towards seeking stable returns in uncertain markets, rather than attempting to predict market movements [12]. - The concept of risk parity has evolved to encompass not just asset risk but also the parallel use of multiple strategies, aiming for absolute alpha [12]. - For wealthy individuals, preserving capital is often prioritized over achieving high returns, as the cost of potential losses is significantly higher than the value of gains [13]. Group 3: Characteristics of Multi-Asset Multi-Strategy - Multi-asset multi-strategy investing involves allocating funds across various asset classes with low correlation to achieve returns across different market cycles [14][16]. - This approach is seen as a more effective wealth management tool in the context of shifting savings patterns among residents [15]. - The dynamic nature of markets necessitates a move away from single-asset strategies, with multi-asset multi-strategy trading providing a means to achieve stable absolute returns [20]. Group 4: Market Dynamics and Asset Performance - The article highlights the volatility of various asset classes over the past decade, indicating that no single asset has consistently performed well, emphasizing the need for diversified strategies [17]. - Different economic cycles favor different asset classes, such as stocks during recovery, commodities during overheating, and high-quality bonds during recessions, aligning with the classic investment theory of the Merrill Lynch clock [21]. - Multi-strategy approaches allow for risk diversification and complementary returns, adapting to various market conditions and mitigating the risks associated with single-strategy investments [22]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Considerations - The future of multi-asset multi-strategy investing in China appears promising, with significant growth potential, although investors must be discerning in selecting genuine strategies that deliver stable profits [22][23]. - It is crucial to evaluate whether a strategy genuinely incorporates both multi-asset and multi-strategy elements, as some may only superficially meet these criteria [23]. - The complexity of multi-asset multi-strategy trading necessitates robust research and management capabilities from fund managers to ensure effective execution [23].