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 iPhone 17大热,苹果王者归来
 格隆汇APP· 2025-09-17 10:33
 Core Viewpoint - The extended delivery times for the iPhone 17 series indicate strong demand and highlight potential supply chain challenges, particularly in the Chinese market, which is experiencing the longest wait times [2][4][19].   Demand Side - The delivery times for the iPhone 17 series have increased significantly compared to the iPhone 16, with the base model's delivery time extending by 8 days and the Pro Max by 8 days as well [5]. - By Day 4 of pre-orders, the base model's delivery time had further increased, indicating sustained demand rather than a short-term spike [6]. - The demand is supported by a large installed base in China, with over 200 million devices, leading to millions of upgrades each year [10].   Supply Side - Apple plans to increase production of the iPhone 17 series by 25%, yet this is still insufficient to meet the growing demand, particularly for high-end models [6][14]. - The high demand for Pro and Pro Max models is attributed to Apple's successful high-end strategy, with new features and colors driving consumer interest [6][14].   Regional Insights - China has the longest delivery times for the iPhone 17 series, with the base and Pro models taking 5 weeks, compared to shorter wait times in other markets [9]. - The delay in the iPhone Air's launch due to eSIM regulations is expected to further impact demand for other models in China [10].   Industry Perspective - Apple's 25% production increase will benefit various suppliers across the supply chain, but the degree of benefit will vary by segment [12][13]. - Core components such as screens, batteries, and chips are expected to see significant profit increases due to their technical barriers and higher margins [15].   Long-term Outlook - The iPhone 17's strong demand signals a positive outlook for Apple's revenue in the upcoming fiscal year, with expectations of an 8%-10% increase in iPhone revenue [16]. - Apple's long-term value lies in its ecosystem, which includes a growing service revenue stream that is expected to contribute significantly to future growth [17][19].    Investment Focus - The Apple supply chain, particularly companies like Luxshare Precision, remains a key area for investors to watch due to the anticipated growth driven by the iPhone 17 series [20].