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亿纬锂能(300014):经营拐点已至,新品开启放量,利润弹性可期
Soochow Securities· 2025-09-04 02:31
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is at an operational turning point, with new products set to ramp up production, leading to expected profit elasticity [9] - The company achieved a significant increase in shipments, with Q2 2025 shipments reaching 27.3 GWh, a 30% increase year-on-year [9] - The company is expected to see substantial revenue growth, with projected total revenue of RMB 66.175 billion in 2025, representing a 36.12% year-on-year increase [1] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 48.784 billion - 2024: RMB 48.615 billion - 2025: RMB 66.175 billion - 2026: RMB 92.893 billion - 2027: RMB 116.653 billion [1] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: - 2023: RMB 4.050 billion - 2024: RMB 4.076 billion - 2025: RMB 4.717 billion - 2026: RMB 7.500 billion - 2027: RMB 10.502 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is as follows: - 2023: RMB 1.98 - 2024: RMB 1.99 - 2025: RMB 2.31 - 2026: RMB 3.67 - 2027: RMB 5.13 [1] Market Position and Product Development - The company is focusing on differentiated products, with a strong order book for large cylindrical and lithium iron phosphate batteries, expecting to reach a production capacity of 300 GWh by 2027 [9] - The company has officially launched its solid-state battery production facility in Chengdu, with the first product achieving an energy density of 300 Wh/kg [9] - The company anticipates significant contributions from its energy storage business, projecting a profit contribution of RMB 7 billion [9]