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赤峰黄金(600988):国际化布局的黄金矿石提供商,业绩有望快速释放
China Post Securities· 2025-06-18 06:42
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7][59] Core Views - The company has undergone a strategic transformation focusing on gold, with significant international expansion and acquisitions enhancing its resource base [3][18] - The company achieved record performance in 2024, with revenue of 9.03 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.76 billion yuan, up 119% [4][29] - The upward trend in gold prices is expected to continue, driven by factors such as U.S. government deficit rates and geopolitical dynamics [8][42] Company Overview - The latest closing price is 28.19 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 53.6 billion yuan [2] - The company has a total share capital of 1.9 billion shares, with 1.664 billion shares in circulation [2] - The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 47.3% and a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.35 [2] Performance Highlights - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 483 million yuan, a 141% increase year-on-year, despite a 7% decline in gold production and sales [30] - The company’s free cash flow reached 1.749 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 279% increase [4][29] - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 299 million yuan for 2024, with a cash dividend ratio of approximately 17% [4][29] Cost Control and Efficiency - The unit sales cost of gold decreased to 278.08 yuan/g in 2024, down 0.76% from 2023 [5][32] - The company is implementing digital and intelligent mining technologies to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs [33] Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve a gold production and sales target of 16.7 tons in 2025, with plans to recover production levels in Q2 2025 [6][30] - The report forecasts net profits of 3.364 billion yuan, 3.915 billion yuan, and 4.306 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 90.64%, 16.39%, and 9.98% [59]