Group 1 - The market and the Federal Reserve seem to have reached a consensus on a rate cut in September following Chairman Powell's speech at Jackson Hole [1] - The upcoming data releases will influence the dot plot, particularly whether there will be a total rate cut of 75 basis points (three cuts) or 50 basis points (two cuts) by the end of the year [1] - Wrightson ICAP macro analysts speculate that the median dot plot may indicate only two rate cuts for the year, but changes in the risk landscape could lead to a downward adjustment, suggesting a total cut of 75 basis points by year-end [1]