A股波动率消失

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当A股波动率消失时,最应该做的事
雪球· 2025-05-01 01:32
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of reassessing investment portfolios during periods of low market volatility and rapid rotation, suggesting that investors should avoid unnecessary trading and focus on strategic adjustments instead [4][48]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Recent trading volumes in the A-share market have been stagnant, hovering around the trillion mark [4]. - Implied volatility is continuously decreasing, contributing to a sense of boredom in the market [5][6]. - The market is characterized by rapid rotation, where buying often leads to declines and selling leads to gains, creating a challenging environment for investors [8][9]. Group 2: Investment Strategy - Investors are encouraged to rethink their investment portfolios, as many hold onto losing stocks due to a reluctance to acknowledge mistakes [18][19]. - The concept of "sunk cost" is highlighted, where investors often wait to break even before selling, which can lead to further losses [31][32]. - A suggestion is made to treat investments as cash and reassess how to allocate it, rather than being anchored to the original purchase price [44][46]. Group 3: Timing and Market Behavior - The article notes that during periods of low volatility, it is advisable to refrain from making hasty trades and instead prepare for potential future market fluctuations [50][51]. - It is emphasized that both market rises and falls can present opportunities, with rises allowing for profit realization and falls providing chances to buy at lower prices [60][62]. - The importance of focusing on long-term asset growth rather than short-term fluctuations is stressed, as short-term movements are often random [66][68]. Group 4: Strategic Planning - The article advocates for a strategic approach to investment, suggesting that a well-thought-out strategy can lead to better long-term returns without the need for frequent trading [56][58]. - Investors are encouraged to diversify their portfolios to mitigate risks and enhance potential returns [70].