上证指数，日线级别的走势来看，今天小幅度震荡，日线级别走出了类似十字星的K线，释放了调整信号。到今天为止，日线级别走了八连阳，阳线数量 越来越多，终归会在最近走出阴线。周期面来看，最近一段上涨，到今天为止，走了六个有效的上涨周期，还不到新的变盘节点。因此，下周大盘指数还 有冲高。至于调整，是在盘中完成，还是走出阴线，目前日线级别看不出来。不过，整体上看，大盘指数运行到了前期高点区域，要想成功突破，需要成 交量继续放大，今天成交量放大明显，但是力度还不够。 六十分钟级别的走势来看，最近一段上涨，到早盘第二个小时为止，走到了第九个有效周期，到了变盘节点，导致了调整，回踩的目标就是十单位均线， 盘中也完成了。不过，今天最后一个小时走出了调整信号。所以，下周一第一个小时有小幅度调整，完成后，有望继续上行。 这样的话，下周一有望先调整后上行，走出九连阳的概率还是比较大的。 周五，沪深A股主要的大盘指数震荡调整，盘面上看，多数个股下跌，跌停3家，人气不高，有色金属板块走强。八连阳之后，下周A股能否继续走强？ 一、大盘指数分析 中午比较忙，没有时间写分析。接下来，重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 先分析上证指数。 科创50 ...

先分析上证50指数。 周二早盘，沪深A股主要的大盘指数小幅度上涨。盘面上看，多数个股下跌，人气比较低迷。周二午后，A股大概率震荡攀升。 一、大盘指数分析 中午时间紧张，重点分析上证50指数和创业板指数，下午收盘之后，再重点分析上证指数和科创50指数。 日线级别的走势来看，今天早盘小幅上涨。目前，该指数也运行到了前期高点附近，这是一个重要的压力位。只有成交量有效放大，走出比较有力的阳 线，才能完成中期调整。 二、总结 上证50指数，今天高开之后小幅度震荡回踩，再度企稳回升。目前来看，就像昨天分析的那样，大盘指数处在一个非常关键的位置。一方面上证50指数运 行到了前期高点区域，面临着比较大的压力。另一方面日线级别的四条中短期均线粘合，且处在多头排列的临界点，对大盘指数形成比较大的支撑作用。 所以，大盘指数处在上有压力，下有支撑的状态。换句话来说，大盘指数处在中期的临界点。只要这里奋力拉升，成交量有效放大，大盘指数就完成了中 期调整。 现在的A股，只要大盘没有大跌，个股的结构性行情会不断上演。但是，这需要趋势正确，不然会陷入漫长的亏损。只有做好趋势交易，才能实现稳定的 波段盈利。通过分析K线、形态和中枢结构，基本可 ...

三、那么下午还能反弹转涨吗？我的观点并不是墨守成规的，我认为转涨根本没有可能了，下午或将继续走低，今天失守3900点已成定局，沪深两指最终将 双双收跌，个股维持涨少跌多的结果，全天量能将在1.78万亿至1.88万亿之间，也就是1.83万亿左右，主力净流出或超500亿。 四、另外我对周五A股走势感觉非常不乐观，从我了解情况来看，风险因素确实是比较大的，我估计周五A股将是大跌的一天，跌是肯定的，因此请大家今 天不要趁低接盘，也不要博触底反弹，旁观或离场为宜。 Q S 7 0 , / 12 la 9 S n of ZU d g A- C:4 u . 2 t 一、周四早盘A股虽然如期以涨幅开盘，但却并没如我分析继续走高，反而是震荡下行了，沪指也失守3900点，个股更是处于普跌状态，因此我的观点彻底 错了，是大错特错呀。 二、我原本看空今天A股走势，但仅仅因为美联储降息转向看多，实在草率了，一手好牌被我打错了，我在周三说A股将跌破3900点，而在今天说能守住 3900点，我两次说法恰恰相反，真是感到惭愧呀。 ...

Market Index Analysis - The major A-share indices experienced slight fluctuations, maintaining a volatile trend throughout the week, with most stocks declining and overall market sentiment being low [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index showed significant bullish candlesticks over the past two trading days, but trading volume remained weak, indicating difficulty in sustaining upward momentum [1] - The index is expected to undergo adjustments early next week, likely oscillating above this week's low, forming a small central structure as a pullback after a previous breakout [1] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index opened lower and then retreated, with a small body and long upper shadow in the daily candlestick, signaling a clear adjustment [2] - Despite a notable increase in the previous day, the lack of sufficient trading volume suggests that further adjustments are likely next week, primarily around this week's low [2] - The ongoing adjustments are seen as a process of building a medium-sized central structure on the daily level, aimed at digesting the pressure from historical high points to lay a solid foundation for future upward trends [2]

Market Index Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index showed a significant downward gap in today's trading, indicating a bearish sentiment due to the previous trading day's release of downward inertia [3] - The closing price is above two short-term moving averages, signaling a potential short-term stabilization, suggesting a likelihood of upward movement on Wednesday [3] - However, the index is currently facing a double top formation, indicating strong resistance, and a breakthrough would require a significant increase in trading volume, which appears challenging [3] Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index Analysis - The Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index opened high but retreated, showing a small upward gap with a long upper shadow, indicating notable pressure from above and signaling a potential adjustment [6] - After ten trading days of effective adjustment, the index has completed a rebound, but the rebound space is considered to be exhausted, suggesting a high probability of continued adjustment on Wednesday [6] - The index remains in a mid-term adjustment phase, with the high points of the recent rebound not significantly surpassing previous highs, indicating limited upward momentum [6]