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六大行中期拟分红超2000亿元,银行高股息防御价值凸显
Core Viewpoint - The banking sector has regained market attention after a period of adjustment, with significant net inflows into the Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) and a continued upward trend in stock prices [1][10]. Dividend Distribution - As of now, eight listed banks have implemented their mid-term dividend plans, with state-owned banks being the primary contributors, totaling a cash dividend of 204.657 billion yuan [3][4]. - Specific dividends include: - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China: 0.1414 yuan per share, total 50.396 billion yuan - China Construction Bank: 0.1858 yuan per share, total 48.605 billion yuan - Agricultural Bank of China: 0.1195 yuan per share, total 41.823 billion yuan - Bank of China: 0.1094 yuan per share, total 35.250 billion yuan - Bank of Communications: 0.1563 yuan per share, total 13.811 billion yuan - Postal Savings Bank of China: 0.123 yuan per share, total 14.772 billion yuan [4][5]. Market Sentiment and Investment Strategy - The high dividend policies of state-owned banks reflect their stable profitability and capital adequacy, which can boost market confidence and enhance the defensive value of bank stocks in a low-interest-rate environment [5][6]. - The current low-interest-rate environment has increased the attractiveness of high-dividend assets, making stable and sustainable dividend yields particularly valuable during periods of market uncertainty [6]. - The banking sector has experienced a significant decline, with the China Securities Banking Index dropping 15.21% from July 11 to October 9, while the CSI 300 Index rose 17.44% during the same period [7][8]. Valuation and Performance - As of October 14, the China Securities Banking Index is valued at 0.69 times price-to-book (PB) ratio, with a dividend yield of 4.09%, while the Bank AH Index has a yield of 4.46%, showing a clear advantage over the ten-year government bond yield [8]. - Since the launch of the Bank AH Total Return Index on December 6, 2017, it has achieved a cumulative increase of 81.41%, outperforming the China Securities Banking Total Return Index, which rose 59.78%, resulting in an excess return of 21.63% [8][9]. Fund Inflows and ETF Performance - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) has seen a net inflow of approximately 1.07 billion yuan this year, with a share increase of 826% [10]. - The ETF has been included as a margin trading and securities lending target, enhancing investment strategies for investors [10].