AH红利轮动策略

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8月红利指向AH均衡
Huafu Securities· 2025-08-04 10:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the AH dual-market rotation strategy, aiming to construct a more favorable dividend+ portfolio by analyzing the driving factors of dividends in A-shares and H-shares [2][8] - The August AH dividend rotation indicator is set at 50% A-share dividends and 50% H-share dividends, indicating a neutral stance with an indicator value of 50, and an accuracy of 69% for the period from 2024 to June 2025 [3][8] Group 2 - The report references previous related reports, including the "Dividend+: AH Dual-Market Rotation Strategy" published on February 17, 2025, and subsequent updates on March 2 and April 3, 2025, which discuss the timing and construction of the dividend+ portfolio [4][8] - The report utilizes various driving factors such as the US disturbance index and A-share seasonal effects, which have exceeded threshold levels, to inform the dividend rotation strategy [3][8]
7月指向AH红利均衡
Huafu Securities· 2025-07-07 13:35
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes the AH dual-market rotation strategy, aiming to construct a more favorable dividend+ portfolio by analyzing the driving factors of dividends in A-shares and H-shares [2][8] - The July AH dividend rotation indicator is set at 50% A-share dividends and 50% H-share dividends, with the AH dividend rotation indicator value being 50, indicating a relatively neutral position [3][8] - The accuracy of the indicator from 2024 to June 2025 is reported to be 73%, suggesting a reliable predictive capability for the dividend rotation strategy [3][8] Group 2 - The report highlights that the AH rotation timing indicator is updated at the end of each month, which influences the weight and performance of the portfolio for the following month [10] - Historical data from 2021 to 2023 is used for backtesting, with a focus on cumulative returns of the AH dividend rotation portfolio [12]