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奕瑞科技(688301):主业迎困境反转,切入AI眼镜赛道打开成长空间
CMS· 2026-01-19 12:35
Investment Rating - The report gives a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [1][11]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic X-ray detector manufacturer, expected to benefit from a recovery in medical tenders and a resurgence in capital expenditure in the lithium battery sector, marking a turning point in its main business performance [2][8]. - The company is entering the high-growth AI glasses market through a partnership with Visionary Technology, which is anticipated to open new growth avenues [3][11]. Company Overview - The company is recognized as a leader in the domestic X-ray detector market, with a projected global market share of 20% by 2024 [18]. - It specializes in digital X-ray detectors, high-voltage generators, combination X-ray sources, and tubes, with applications spanning medical, industrial, and dental fields [18][19]. Main Business - The company is transitioning from a single supplier of X-ray detectors to a comprehensive supplier of X-ray solutions, enhancing product value and customer loyalty [8][27]. - Short-term recovery is expected due to improved downstream demand, with a projected revenue growth of 20% in 2025 [10][11]. - Long-term growth is driven by expanding product offerings, industry applications, and market penetration, with a focus on increasing overseas business, which is expected to account for 34% of revenue by mid-2025 [8][11]. New Business Ventures - The company is entering the high-growth AI glasses sector, leveraging its capabilities in OLED micro-displays through a partnership with Visionary Technology [3][9]. - The global XR device shipment is projected to grow significantly, with a CAGR of 55.5% from 2025 to 2029, indicating a robust market opportunity [8][11]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 22.01 billion, 34.56 billion, and 44.54 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 6.25 billion, 7.87 billion, and 10.08 billion yuan [10][11]. - The company maintains a strong financial position with a return on equity (ROE) of 9.0% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 46.4% [4].