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张宏江外滩大会分享:基础设施加速扩张,AI步入“产业规模化”
Bei Ke Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 07:09
Core Insights - The "Scaling Law" for large models remains valid, indicating that higher parameter counts lead to better performance, although the industry perceives a gradual slowdown in pre-trained model scaling [3] - The emergence of reasoning models has created a new curve for large-scale development, termed "reasoning scaling," which emphasizes the importance of context and memory in computational demands [3] - The cost of using large language models (LLMs) is decreasing rapidly, with the price per token dropping significantly over the past three years, reinforcing the scaling law [3] - AI is driving massive infrastructure expansion, with significant capital expenditures expected in the AI sector, projected to exceed $300 billion by 2025 for major tech companies in the U.S. [3] - The AI data center industry has experienced a construction boom, which is expected to stimulate the power ecosystem and economic growth, reflecting the core of "AI industrial scaling" [3] Industry Transformation - Humanity is entering the "agent swarm" era, characterized by numerous intelligent agents interacting, executing tasks, and exchanging information, leading to the concept of "agent economy" [4] - Future organizations will consider models and GPU computing power as core assets, necessitating an expansion of computing power to enhance model strength and data richness [4] - The integration of "super individuals" and agents is anticipated to bring about significant structural changes in enterprise processes [4]
张宏江:基础设施加速扩张 AI正步入“产业规模化”
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-09-11 05:07
Group 1 - The core principle of "Scaling Law" for large models remains valid, indicating that higher parameters lead to better performance [2] - The emergence of reasoning models has created a new curve for large-scale development, termed "reasoning scaling" [2] - The rapid decline in the cost per token for large language models (LLM) over the past three years will further reinforce the scaling law [2] Group 2 - AI is driving large-scale expansion of infrastructure, with the AI data center industry experiencing significant construction activity over the past year [2] - The large-scale construction in the IDC industry will stimulate the power ecosystem and economic development, reflecting the core of "AI industrial scaling" [2] Group 3 - Humanity is entering the "agent swarm" era, characterized by numerous agents interacting, executing tasks, and exchanging information [3] - The interaction between humans and agent swarms will form the basis of the "agent economy" [3] - Models and GPU computing power will become core assets for future organizations, necessitating the expansion of computing power to enhance models and enrich data [3]