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半导体自主可控再成焦点,继续推荐模拟、存储及算力ASIC | 投研报告
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor sector is regaining focus on self-sufficiency, with recommendations for analog, memory, and ASICs due to recent market trends and optimistic forecasts from key players like TSMC and SMIC [2][3] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.52%, while the electronics sector increased by 6.15%, with components up by 11.33% and optical optoelectronics up by 0.85% in the past week [1][2] - The Hang Seng Tech Index, Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, and Taiwan Information Technology Index rose by 5.31%, 4.17%, and 6.05%, respectively [1][2] Semiconductor Sector Insights - TSMC raised its annual performance guidance, and both SMIC and Hua Hong Semiconductor expressed optimistic outlooks for future orders during their earnings calls, leading to a rapid sector rally [1][2] - The focus on domestic semiconductor self-sufficiency is highlighted by increased support for local computing power solutions from companies like Deepseek and Alibaba [2] Regulatory Developments - The Ministry of Commerce initiated an anti-dumping investigation into imported analog chips from the U.S., which is expected to improve price competition and accelerate domestic substitution [3] - The investigation period is set from January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2024, with the product scope including general interface chips and gate driver chips using 40nm and above process technology [3] Memory Market Trends - Micron announced a halt in pricing for all DDR4, DDR5, LPDDR4, and LPDDR5 memory products, indicating potential price increases due to tightening supply and recovering demand [3][4] - TrendForce forecasts a 10% to 15% increase in NAND Flash wafer prices and a 3% to 8% rise in client SSD prices in Q2 2025 [3] AI and Computing Power Developments - Alibaba and Baidu are increasingly using internally designed chips for AI model training, indicating a shift towards domestic solutions [4] - Oracle raised its cloud infrastructure revenue forecast, expecting a 77% increase to $18 billion in FY26, driven by growing demand from AI companies [4] New Product Launches - Apple introduced significant updates to its AirPods Pro3 and iPhone models, enhancing features without increasing prices, which may positively impact the supply chain [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies across various sectors, including semiconductor firms like SMIC, Naxin Micro, and others, as well as memory manufacturers and consumer electronics companies [5]