Group 1 - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing a high growth phase, driven by dual benefits from domestic policies and increasing demand for mid-to-high-end equipment from large wafer fabs [3] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen significant inflows, with a net inflow of nearly 75 million yuan in a single day and a total of 3.77 billion yuan year-to-date, indicating strong investor interest [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF has increased by 43.72% year-to-date, ranking third among 31 primary industries, only behind non-ferrous metals and communications [1] Group 2 - Capital expenditures for leading internet companies in China and the U.S. are expected to grow rapidly, with projections of $430.6 billion (+65%) in 2025 and $602 billion (+40%) in 2026, supporting future demand for computing chips [2] - The domestic storage manufacturers are expected to contribute significantly to wafer fab capital expenditures next year, which will drive demand for semiconductor equipment and materials [2] Group 3 - The semiconductor equipment sector is expected to maintain high growth rates over the next three years, driven by increased domestic production and demand, with a focus on enhancing localization rates [3] - The top ten constituents of the semiconductor equipment ETF account for over 78% of the index, focusing on key players in the chip industry chain [4]

登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：聚源，中原证券研究所 -10% -4% 2% 8% 14% 20% 26% 32% 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | 上证指数 | | 3,834.89 | -2.45 | | 深证成指 | | 12,538.07 | -3.41 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,453.61 | -2.44 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,320.59 | -2.40 | | 中证 500 | | 6,817.41 | -3.46 | | 中证 1000 | | 6, ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a notable shift towards stock selection and sector rotation, with over 50 stocks upgraded and more than 90 downgraded in ratings, indicating a more cautious market sentiment and a focus on structural opportunities in technology, consumption, and dividend sectors [1][2][3]. Stock Rating Adjustments - Over the past month, 52 stocks have been upgraded, with the food and beverage sector having the highest number of upgrades at 7 stocks, followed by electronics and power equipment with 5 each, and pharmaceuticals and light industry with 4 each [1]. - Conversely, 92 stocks have been downgraded across 25 industries, with the automotive sector leading with 12 downgrades, followed by food and beverage with 10, and basic chemicals with 9 [2][3]. Sector Analysis - In the food and beverage sector, several companies such as Baba Foods and Ximai Foods have seen their ratings upgraded due to improved revenue growth and store efficiency [2]. - The electronics sector is expected to benefit from a recovery in terminal demand, with companies like Crystal Technology and Green Link Technology receiving upgrades [2]. - The automotive sector has faced downgrades due to short-term performance pressures, with companies like Meihu and New Spring seeing their ratings lowered [3]. Market Trends and Strategies - Analysts suggest that the market is moving towards a balanced style, with a preference for large-cap stocks and a potential shift towards value stocks [4]. - The focus on growth stocks remains, but the key is whether the underlying valuation logic changes, which could drive future performance [4]. - Investment opportunities are seen in themes such as anti-involution and dividend stocks, with a particular emphasis on technology sectors that align with national strategies and possess real technological barriers [5].

Group 1 - The report highlights the ongoing transformation in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry, with significant advancements in AI models and increasing capital expenditures from cloud service providers, driving demand for AI computing hardware infrastructure [8][20][39] - The semiconductor industry is expected to continue its upward trend, with AI driving a potential super cycle in the memory sector, as domestic manufacturers enhance their competitive advantages in technology and supply chains [11][18][19] - The electronic industry has significantly outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a year-to-date increase of 38.35% compared to the CSI 300's 16.85% [18][19] Group 2 - Major cloud companies are increasing their capital expenditures, with North American cloud providers collectively spending $96.4 billion in Q3 2025, a 67% year-on-year increase, to support AI infrastructure [39][40] - The report emphasizes the rapid growth of AI server demand, with the global AI server market projected to reach $158.7 billion in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 15.5% from 2024 to 2028 [51][53] - The report identifies key investment opportunities in sectors such as AI computing chips, AI PCBs, and memory modules, recommending specific companies for investment based on their market positions and growth potential [11][12][52]

【跟踪牛人动态】超3000名"专业选手"如何调仓？最牛选手单只标的浮盈超400% 【头条要闻】 美股"过山车式"大跳水！标普创4月来最惨一日，降息疑虑与避险情绪笼罩市场 美股周四高开低走并大幅收跌。道指与纳指均出现超1100点宽幅震荡。市场继续评估英伟达的财报以及 延迟发布的美国9月非农数据。同时投资者已不再预期美联储12月再次降息。美股分析师Hannah Erin Lang表示，美股大幅高开后迅速转跌，动能丧失的首要原因是人工智能的提振似乎是短暂的。尽管英 伟达的财报似乎恢复了对AI交易的一些信心，但这种信心提振仅是昙花一现，信息技术板块今天在标 普500指数中领跌。 9月"迟到"非农数据超预期 美联储内部分歧难消 12月降息的可能性继续下降 数据显示，美国9月季调后非农就业人口新增11.9万人，预期5万人。美国9月平均每小时工资年率 3.8%，预期3.7%，前值由3.7%修正为3.8%；9月平均每小时工资月率0.2%，预期0.3%，前值由0.3%修 正为0.4%。失业率数据则表现不佳，9月失业率为4.4%，预期4.3%，前值4.3%。美联储政策制定者现在 面临的重大决策是：就业市场这种方向不确定的信号，能 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market continues to show a "two-eight differentiation" trend, with banking and real estate sectors leading, while technology stocks, particularly those related to AI, have shown weakness [1] - As of the market close, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.40% to 3931.05 points, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% to 12980.82 points, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 1.12% to 3042.34 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 170.81 billion yuan, a decrease of 17.7 billion yuan from the previous day, with over 3800 stocks declining [1] Group 2: Banking Sector Performance - Bank stocks have been a key factor in stabilizing the market, with China Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reaching historical highs, with market capitalizations of over 2 trillion yuan and 2.9475 trillion yuan respectively [1] - The report from Kaiyuan Securities emphasizes the importance of focusing on banks' growth potential and long-term value, suggesting a base allocation in large state-owned banks and flexible allocation in quality regional banks [2] Group 3: Real Estate Sector Insights - The real estate sector showed positive movement, with the Shenwan Real Estate Index rising by 0.33% and the construction materials index increasing by 1.40% [2] - Data from the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development indicates that from January to October, the transaction area of second-hand homes increased by 4.7% year-on-year, with second-hand homes accounting for 44.8% of total transactions [2] Group 4: Technology Sector Analysis - Recent fluctuations in the technology sector have raised concerns about valuation bubbles and the sustainability of AI investments, with a focus on valuation corrections rather than fundamental changes [4] - Despite the volatility, leading tech companies' revenue growth has met expectations, and the return on AI investments continues to accelerate, indicating ongoing potential in the underlying technology [4]

申港证券近日发布电子行业研究周报：根据中芯国际公告和腾讯科技，中芯国际25Q3实现营收23.82亿 美元、环比增长7.8%，超出此前指引。毛利率22.0%、环比上升1.6个百分点，高于此前指引。产能利用 率上升至95.8%、环比增长3.3个百分点，25Q3月产能超过100万片。 以下为研究报告摘要： 存储大厂频传提价，产业2026年资本支出或对位元产出支撑有限，供需紧张局面有望延续。根据芯智讯 和DigiTimes，近期闪迪将其11月NAND Flash闪存合约价格提高50%，公司在9月已宣布对NAND Flash 合约价调涨10%，涨价对下游存储供应链带来冲击，促使创见、宜鼎和宇瞻科技等存储模组制造商暂停 出货并重新评估报价。本月三星电子将某些DRAM芯片（DDR5）的价格相比9月份上涨60%。 TrendForce集邦咨询调查显示，随着存储器平均销售价格持续提升，DRAM与NAND Flash后续的资本支 出将会持续上涨，但对于2026年的位元产出增长支撑有限。DRAM和NAND Flash产业的投资重心正逐 渐转变，从单纯地扩充产能，转向制程技术升级、高层数堆栈、混合键合以及HBM等高附加价值产 品。S ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [5][42]. Core Insights - The SW Electronics industry saw a record high in fund heavy positions in Q3 2025, with a fund heavy ratio of 22.14%, up 4.91% quarter-on-quarter and 8.15% year-on-year [1][12]. - The focus of institutional investors is on AI computing power, semiconductor self-sufficiency, and an increased interest in the storage sector [2][22]. - The semiconductor sector remains the only sub-sector with an overweight position, while the concentration of the top five heavy positions has decreased, indicating a trend towards diversification in fund allocations [3][35]. Summary by Sections Fund Heavy Positions and Overweight Ratios - The SW Electronics industry had a matching ratio of 12.42% in Q3 2025, with a slight decrease of 0.14 percentage points quarter-on-quarter but an increase of 3.47 percentage points year-on-year [1][12]. - The overweight ratio for the SW Electronics industry in Q3 2025 was 9.71%, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.44 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 3.65 percentage points [1][12]. Top Heavy Positions - The top ten heavy positions in the SW Electronics industry for Q3 2025 included companies like Cambricon, SMIC, and Industrial Fulian, with a significant focus on semiconductor and AI computing power stocks [2][17]. - All top ten heavy positions experienced price increases in Q3, with Industrial Fulian, Cambricon, and Shenghong Technology showing the highest gains [2][17]. Investment Focus Areas - Institutional investors are particularly focused on AI computing power, with key players in the AI server manufacturing and domestic AI chip sectors benefiting from accelerated industry development [2][22]. - The semiconductor sector is emphasized for its self-sufficiency, with companies like SMIC and Zhongwei benefiting from domestic supply chain improvements [2][22]. - The storage sector is gaining attention, with leading storage chip manufacturer Zhaoyi Innovation seeing continuous institutional accumulation due to favorable supply-demand dynamics [2][22]. Sub-sector Allocation - Only the semiconductor sector maintains an overweight position at 6.26%, despite a decrease of 1.60 percentage points [3][31]. - The optical and optoelectronic sector has seen a slight narrowing of its underweight ratio, indicating a potential shift in investor interest [3][31]. Diversification Trends - The concentration of the top five heavy positions in the SW Electronics industry has been declining since Q1 2025, suggesting a diversification trend in fund allocations [3][35]. - The market share of the top five, ten, and twenty heavy positions in the overall fund heavy market value is 36.36%, 58.02%, and 74.73%, respectively [3][35]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the AI computing power and semiconductor self-sufficiency sectors, as well as the storage sector, which is expected to benefit from ongoing demand and price increases [2][40][37].

晨会纪要 证券研究报告 2025 年 11 月 17 日 核心结论 分析师 【基金】行业主题基金专题研究（六）-主动篇：先进制造主题基金研究框 架及产品优选 本文构建主动型先进制造主题基金池。根据主动权益基金对制造行业的配 置、基金与先进制造概念的相关系数等标签划分，细分为均衡型/专注单一 赛道型制造基金、机器人/军工/汽车/新能源/智能驾驶/电池等概念主题基金。 综合定量定性指标、当下投资关注度，建议关注：1）机器人主题：永赢先 进制造智选、鹏华碳中和、平安先进制造、中航趋势领航等；2）军工主题： 长信国防军工、华夏军工安全、永赢高端装备智选等。 【证券Ⅱ】证券行业 2026 年度策略：步步向上，欣欣向荣 我们认为经济定调积极下资本市场上升趋势仍在，券商板块仍是年内不可多 得的相对低估+业绩同比高增的细分资产。在自营相对难以预测、叠加增量 资金持续入市带动 ADT 中枢高企下，我们认为当前经纪主线是不错的选择， 推荐国泰海通、华泰证券、东方证券、国信证券、广发证券，建议关注方正 证券；此外，推荐受益于权益市场活跃的九方智投控股、有望通过换股吸收 大智慧实现增长的湘财股份、持续受益于港股 IPO 回暖的中金公 ...

Core Viewpoint - Qiangyi Semiconductor (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. has successfully passed the IPO review by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, marking a significant milestone for the company in the semiconductor probe card industry [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Qiangyi Semiconductor is a high-tech enterprise focused on the research, design, production, and sales of probe cards, which are essential for semiconductor wafer testing [5][6] - The company has developed proprietary MEMS probe manufacturing technology, breaking the monopoly of foreign manufacturers in the MEMS probe card sector [5] - Qiangyi Semiconductor ranks ninth in the global semiconductor probe card industry in 2023 and sixth in 2024, being the only domestic company to enter the top ten in recent years [5] Group 2: Industry Significance - Probe cards are consumable hardware used during the wafer testing phase of semiconductor production, playing a crucial role in detecting manufacturing defects and testing functionality [5] - The wafer testing process is vital for chip design, directly impacting yield rates and manufacturing costs, thus holding significant importance in the semiconductor supply chain [5] Group 3: Financial Performance - From 2022 to the first half of 2025, Qiangyi Semiconductor's revenue figures were 254 million, 354 million, 641 million, and 374 million yuan, demonstrating sustained rapid growth with a compound annual growth rate of 58.85% from 2022 to 2024 [7] - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items increased from 13.84 million to 137 million yuan, reflecting a growth of over ten times during the same period [7] Group 4: Future Plans - The funds raised from the IPO will be invested in the development and production of probe cards in Nantong and the construction of the headquarters and R&D center in Suzhou [7] - The investment aims to enhance technological capabilities and production capacity, contributing to the quality, reliability, and manufacturing efficiency of China's semiconductor products [7]